2018 Texas gubernatorial election

The 2018 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Texas, concurrently with the election of Texas's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other congressional, state and local elections throughout the United States and Texas. Incumbent Republican governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a second term in office defeating Democratic nominee Lupe Valdez, the former sheriff of Dallas County, and Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts, a former member of the Lago Vista city council.

The Republican and Democratic party primaries were held on March 6, 2018, making them the first primaries of the 2018 electoral season. Abbott won the March 6 primary with 90% of the vote to receive the Republican nomination, while Democratic candidates Lupe Valdez and Andrew White advanced to a May 22 runoff. Valdez defeated White in the runoff with 53.1% of the vote and faced Abbott in the general election as the Democratic nominee.

Valdez's nomination made her the first openly gay person nominated for governor by a major party in the state.

Tippetts was nominated at the Libertarian Party of Texas' state convention in Houston April 13–15, 2018. He defeated three challengers, as well as the None Of The Above option, on the first ballot and received more than 70% approval from Libertarian party delegates.

Despite considerably closer contests in other Texas state elections, Abbott handily won a second term with the highest margin of victory of any state official on the ballot, although Valdez also won the largest vote share for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate since Ann Richards in 1994. Tippetts' showing exceeded the previous record for most votes for a Libertarian nominee for Texas governor; that record had been set in 1990.

The election also took place alongside a closer, higher-profile Senate race between Beto O'Rourke and Ted Cruz, which may have played a factor in making the Democratic gubernatorial candidate considerably more competitive than in 2014. Abbott won a majority among white voters (72% to 26%), while Valdez won majorities among African Americans (80% to 16%) and Latinos (63% to 35%).

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Larry Kilgore, secession activist
  • Barbara Krueger, retired teacher

Declined

Endorsements

Greg Abbott
Larry Kilgore

Religious leaders

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • James Jolly Clark, businessman
  • Cedric Davis, former mayor of Balch Springs
  • Joe Mumbach, businessman
  • Adrian Ocegueda, financial analyst
  • Jeffrey Payne, businessman and 2009 International Mr. Leather
  • Demetria Smith, mortgage broker
  • Tom Wakely, hospice chaplain and nominee for TX-21 in 2016
  • Andrew White, entrepreneur and son of Governor Mark White
  • Grady Yarbrough, retired educator

Withdrew

  • Garry Brown, candidate for Travis County Commission in 2014
  • Lee Weaver

Declined

Endorsements

Jeffrey Payne
Lupe Valdez

U.S. cabinet and cabinet-level officials

U.S. representatives

Texas state senators

Texas state representatives

Local officeholders

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Andrew White

Texas state representatives

Local officeholders

  • Cedric Davis, former mayor of Balch Springs and candidate for the 2018 gubernatorial Democratic nomination

Individuals

  • Michael Cooper, pastor and candidate for the 2018 lieutenant governor Democratic nomination

Organizations

Newspapers

First round

Polling

Results

Initial primary results by county
Valdez
  •   Valdez—60–70%
  •   Valdez—50–60%
  •   Valdez—40–50%
  •   Valdez—30–40%
  •   Valdez—20–30%
White
  •   White—100%
  •   White—50–60%
  •   White—40–50%
  •   White—30–40%
  •   White—20–30%
Davis
  •   Davis—60–70%
  •   Davis—20–30%
  •   Davis—<20%
Yarbrough
  •   Yarbrough—20–30%
  •   Yarbrough—30–40%
Payne
  •   Payne—70–80%
Wakely
  •   Wakely—30–40%
  •   Wakely—20–30%
Tie
  •   Tie

Runoff

Runoff results by county
Valdez
  •   Valdez—>90%
  •   Valdez—80–90%
  •   Valdez—70–80%
  •   Valdez—60–70%
  •   Valdez—50–60%
Tie
  •   Tie
White
  •   White—50–60%
  •   White—60–70%
  •   White—70–80%
  •   White—80–90%
  •   White—>90%
No vote
  •   No vote

Lupe Valdez and Andrew White proceeded to a run-off on May 22 since neither received 50% of the vote in the first round of the primary. Lupe Valdez won the runoff.

Results

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Nominated

  • Mark Tippetts, former Lago Vista City Councilman

Defeated at convention

  • Kathie Glass, attorney and previous nominee
  • Patrick Smith
  • Kory Watkins, activist

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Greg Abbott (R)

Federal officials

U.S. senators

Statewide officeholders

Texas state senators

Texas state representatives

Local officeholders

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Lupe Valdez (D)

U.S. cabinet and cabinet-level officials

U.S. representatives

Texas state senators

Texas state representatives

Local officeholders

Individuals

Organizations

Mark Tippetts (L)

Governors

Individuals

Predictions

Notes

Polling

Hypothetical polling

with Andrew White

with Julian Castro

with Wendy Davis

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Abbott won 25 of 36 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.

Analysis

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls.

References

Debates

Official campaign websites

Uses material from the Wikipedia article 2018 Texas gubernatorial election, released under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license.