Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election

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This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2019 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2021 Canadian federal election, which took place on September 20, 2021. For riding-specific polls see the list of 2021 constituency polls.

National polls

Campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the campaign period of the 2021 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 25-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

Pre-campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 2021 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 25-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

Regional polls

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level:

Atlantic Canada

New Brunswick

Newfoundland and Labrador

Nova Scotia

Prince Edward Island

Central Canada

Quebec

Ontario

Greater Toronto Area

Western Canada

Manitoba

Alberta

British Columbia

Constituency polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election by constituency

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister:

September 2020 – September 2021

October 2019 – August 2020

See also

Notes

References

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Uses material from the Wikipedia article Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election, released under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license.