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In mathematics, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture (often called the Birch–Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture) describes the set of rational solutions to equations defining an elliptic curve. It is an open problem in the field of number theory and is widely recognized as one of the most challenging mathematical problems. It is named after mathematicians Bryan John Birch and Sir Peter Swinnerton-Dyer, who formulated the conjecture in the 1960s with the help of machine computation. Only special cases of the conjecture have been proven.
The conjecture proposes a link between arithmetic data associated with an elliptic curve over a number field and the behaviour of its associated Hasse–Weil L-function at . The points over a number field, for example over the rationals , are subtle and difficult to determine, but the L-function depends only on the points modulo all primes and is much simpler: thus the conjecture is a local-to-global statement. More specifically, it is conjectured that the rank of the abelian group of points of is the order of the zero of at , and further that the leading non-zero coefficient in the Taylor expansion of at can be expressed in terms of more refined arithmetic data attached to over .
The conjecture was chosen as one of the seven Millennium Prize Problems listed by the Clay Mathematics Institute, which has offered a $1,000,000 prize for the first correct proof.
In 1922, Louis J. Mordell proved Mordell's theorem, stating that the group of rational points on an elliptic curve has a finite basis. This means that for any elliptic curve, there is a finite subset of the rational points on the curve, from which all further rational points may be generated.
In the early 1960s, Swinnerton-Dyer used the EDSAC-2 computer at the University of Cambridge Computer Laboratory to calculate the number of points modulo for a large number of primes on elliptic curves whose rank was known. From these numerical results, he and his colleague Bryan John Birch conjectured that for a curve with rank , the growth of obeys the asymptotic law where is a constant.
Initially, this was based on somewhat tenuous trends in graphical plots, which aroused a measure of skepticism in Birch's advisor J. W. S. Cassels.
This in turn led Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer to make a general conjecture about the behavior of a curve's L-function at ; namely, that it would have a zero of order at this point. This was a far-sighted conjecture for the time, given that the analytic continuation of was only established for curves with complex multiplication, which were also the main source of numerical examples. (Note that the reciprocal of the L-function is from some points of view a more natural object of study; using this convention, one should consider poles rather than zeroes.)
The conjecture was subsequently extended to include the prediction of the leading Taylor coefficient of the L-function at : where is the order of the torsion group, Ш is the order of the Tate–Shafarevich group, is the real period of multiplied by the number of connected components of , is the regulator of (defined via the canonical heights of a basis of rational points), and is the Tamagawa number of at a prime dividing the conductor of (computed by Tate's algorithm).
When the conjecture was originally made, little was known, not even whether the left (analytic) side or the right (algebraic) side of this equation were even well-defined. John Tate expressed this in 1974 in a famous quote:
This remarkable conjecture relates the behavior of a function at a point where it is not at present known to be defined to the order of a group Ш which is not known to be finite!
In 2000, the Clay Mathematics Institute listed the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture as one of its seven Millennium Prize Problems. The formulation of the conjecture as a prize problem was provided by Andrew Wiles, who explained its importance as follows:
[...] although there has been some success in the last fifty years in limiting the number of rational points on varieties, there are still almost no methods for finding such points. It is to be hoped that a proof of the Birch and SwinnertonDyer conjecture will give some insight concerning this general problem.

The Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture has been proved in special cases:
There is extensive numerical evidence for the truth of the conjecture.
Much like the Riemann hypothesis, this conjecture has multiple consequences, including:
There is a version of this conjecture for general abelian varieties over number fields. A version for abelian varieties over is the following: All of the terms have the same meaning as for elliptic curves, except that the square of the order of the torsion needs to be replaced by the product involving the dual abelian variety . Elliptic curves as 1-dimensional abelian varieties are their own duals, i.e. , which simplifies the statement of the BSD conjecture. The regulator needs to be understood for the pairing between a basis for the free parts of and relative to the Poincaré bundle on the product .
The rank-one Birch-Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture for modular elliptic curves and modular abelian varieties of GL(2)-type over totally real number fields was proved by Shou-Wu Zhang in 2001.
Another generalization is given by the Bloch-Kato conjecture.
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