November 3, 2026
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| Elections in Massachusetts |
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The 2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Democratic incumbent Ed Markey is seeking a third full term. He is being challenged by Republican attorney John Deaton.
Primary elections were held on September 1. Markey won the Democratic nomination over congressman Seth Moulton with 64.9% of the vote. Deaton, the Republican nominee in 2024, was nominated a second time after running unopposed in the primary.
Republicans have not won a Senate election in Massachusetts since 2010.
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate
| Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ed Markey (D) | $8,051,970 | $8,355,270 | $1,348,676 |
| Seth Moulton (D) | $6,213,103 | $6,228,105 | $1,835,336 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | |||
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ed Markey |
Seth Moulton |
Undecided | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin | August 5–16, 2026 | August 19, 2026 | 56.0% | 35.0% | 9.0% | Markey +21.0% |
| Race to the WH | through August 16, 2026 | August 18, 2026 | 53.6% | 35.4% | 11.0% | Markey +18.2% |
| Average | 54.8% | 35.2% | 10.0% | Markey +19.6% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey |
Seth Moulton |
Alex Rikleen |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 28–29, 2026 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 65% | 35% | — | — | — |
| 60% | 33% | — | — | 7% | ||||
| University of New Hampshire | August 20–24, 2026 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 63% | 28% | — | 2% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 17–18, 2026 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 59% | 26% | — | — | 15% |
| 53% | 22% | — | — | 25% | ||||
| Suffolk University | August 13–16, 2026 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 38% | — | 1% | 9% |
| UMass Amherst/YouGov | August 5–12, 2026 | 445 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 60% | 32% | — | 2% | 7% |
| 54% | 28% | — | 1% | 17% | ||||
| University of New Hampshire | June 18–23, 2026 | 370 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 41% | 35% | — | 1% | 23% |
| Rikleen withdraws from the race, endorses Markey | ||||||||
| Emerson College | May 3–4, 2026 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 37% | 32% | 1% | 1% | 29% |
| University of New Hampshire | April 16–20, 2026 | 353 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 46% | 33% | 6% | — | 15% |
| Suffolk University | April 9–13, 2026 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 30% | — | — | 20% |
| University of New Hampshire | February 12–16, 2026 | 352 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 35% | 23% | 7% | 5% | 30% |
| Suffolk University | November 19–23, 2025 | 226 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 45% | 22% | — | — | 33% |
| University of New Hampshire | November 13–17, 2025 | 343 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 34% | 25% | 2% | 3% | 35% |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 23–26, 2025 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 34% | — | — | 13% |
| UMass Amherst/YouGov | October 21–29, 2025 | 416 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 51% | 28% | 6% | 1% | 14% |
| 44% | 25% | 5% | 1% | 25% | ||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey |
Seth Moulton |
Ayanna Pressley |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | November 19–23, 2025 | 226 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 34% | 16% | 35% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey |
Seth Moulton |
Ayanna Pressley |
Alex Rikleen |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst/YouGov | October 21–29, 2025 | 416 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 35% | 25% | 21% | 5% | 1% | 19% |
| 31% | 24% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Seth Moulton |
Ayanna Pressley |
Michelle Wu |
Joseph P. Kennedy III |
Jake Auchincloss |
Alex Rikleen |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst/YouGov | October 21–29, 2025 | 416 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 29% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 4% |
| 26% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 16% |
| No. | Date | Hosts | Moderators | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Ed Markey | Seth Moulton | |||||
| 1 | July 8, 2026 | WWLP | Patrick Berry | YouTube | P | P |
| 2 | August 3, 2026 | Boston 25 News WGBH-FM |
Kerry Kavanaugh Adam Reilly |
YouTube | P | P |
| 3 | August 20, 2026 | WCVB-TV WBUR-FM The Boston Globe |
Ed Harding | YouTube | P | P |
Candidates must win at least 15% at the party convention in order to make it onto the primary ballot. The convention decides which candidate gets the party's endorsement for the primary election while the primary decides the party nominee for the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ed Markey (incumbent) | 2,744 | 72.9 | |
| Democratic | Seth Moulton | 1,018 | 27.1 | |
| Total votes | 3,762 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ed Markey (incumbent) | 580,628 | 64.7 | |
| Democratic | Seth Moulton | 314,198 | 35.0 | |
| Write-in | 2,225 | 0.3 | ||
| Total votes | 897,051 | 100.0 | ||
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Deaton (R) | $1,561,360 | $848,943 | $712,417 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | |||

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Deaton | 221,950 | 99.3 | |
| Write-in | 1,555 | 0.7 | ||
| Total votes | 223,505 | 100.0 | ||
| Campaign finance reports as of September 3, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Joe Tache (PSL) | $269,878 | $176,871 | $93,007 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | |||
| Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Shiva Ayyadurai (I) | $269,035 | $150,776 | $117,116 |
| Nathan Bech (I) | $80,010 | $56,107 | $28,677 |
| Morgan Dawicki (I) | $16,498 | $7,743 | $3,564 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | |||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Solid D | October 20, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ | Safe D | October 22, 2026 |
| The Economist | Safe D | October 21, 2026 |
| FiftyPlusOne | Safe D | October 22, 2026 |
| Fox News | Solid D | October 20, 2026 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | October 15, 2026 |
| NBC News | Solid D | October 22, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics | Solid D | October 12, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | October 14, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin | Solid D | October 22, 2026 |
| Split Ticket | Safe D | October 22, 2026 |
| Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ed Markey (D) | $8,685,207 | $9,537,271 | $799,913 |
| John Deaton (R) | $1,674,460 | $1,186,303 | $488,156 |
| Joe Tache (PSL) | $285,403 | $261,623 | $23,780 |
| Shiva Ayyadurai (I) | $245,729 | $159,434 | $85,152 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | |||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Republican | Socialism and Liberation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||
| Ed Markey | Seth Moulton | John Deaton | Joe Tache | |||||
| 1 | June 16, 2026 | WBZ-TV | Jon Keller | C-SPAN | A | P | P | N |
| 2 | October 13, 2026 | WBZ-TV | Jon Keller | YouTube | P | N | P | N |
| 3 | October 27, 2026 | BreakThrough News | Zoe Alexandra Rania Khalek |
YouTube | I | N | I | I |
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ed Markey (D) |
John Deaton (R) |
Other/ Undecided |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin | September 17 – October 18, 2026 | October 20, 2026 | 55.8% | 29.8% | 14.4% | Markey +26.0% |
| RealClearPolitics | September 14 – October 18, 2026 | October 20, 2026 | 55.8% | 29.8% | 14.4% | Markey +26.0% |
| Silver Bulletin | through October 12, 2026 | October 19, 2026 | 56.5% | 29.9% | 13.6% | Markey +26.6% |
| Average | 56.0% | 29.8% | 14.2% | Markey +26.2% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey (D) |
John Deaton (R) |
Joe Tache (PSL) |
Other | Undecided | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | October 14–18, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 60% | 32% | 1% | 1% | 6% | |||||||
| UMass Amherst/YouGov | October 5–12, 2026 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 56% | 29% | 3% | 8% | 4% | |||||||
| 54% | 28% | 2% | 7% | 9% | |||||||||||
| MassINC Polling Group | September 14–22, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 9% | |||||||
| 52% | 26% | 2% | 6% | 14% | |||||||||||
| University of New Hampshire | September 17–21, 2026 | 564 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 30% | 9% | — | 8% | |||||||
| Primary elections | |||||||||||||||
| University of New Hampshire | August 20–24, 2026 | 881 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 30% | 7% | 1% | 12% | |||||||
| UMass Amherst/YouGov | August 5–12, 2026 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 30% | — | 3% | 15% | |||||||
| University of New Hampshire | June 18–23, 2026 | 623 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 34% | — | — | 16% | |||||||
| Suffolk University | June 8–12, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 30% | — | 1% | 14% | |||||||
| University of New Hampshire | April 16–20, 2026 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 32% | — | 1% | 12% | |||||||
| University of New Hampshire | February 12–16, 2026 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 56% | 27% | — | 2% | 15% | |||||||
| Cygnal (R) | January 22–25, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 30% | — | — | 16% | |||||||
| Suffolk University | November 19–23, 2025 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 31% | — | — | 15% | |||||||
| SurveyUSA | February 28 – March 4, 2025 | 775 (RV) | — | 45% | 26% | — | — | 30% | |||||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Markey (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst/YouGov | February 14–20, 2025 | 700 (A) | ± 4.8% | 35% | 33% | — | 33% |
| MassINC Polling Group | October 29 – November 1, 2024 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 34% | 40% | 7% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Seth Moulton (D) |
John Deaton (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | August 20–24, 2026 | 881 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 38% | 25% | 18% | 19% |
| UMass Amherst/YouGov | August 5–12, 2026 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 25% | 3% | 22% |
| University of New Hampshire | June 18–23, 2026 | 623 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 30% | 1% | 19% |
| Suffolk University | June 8–12, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 26% | 2% | 18% |
| University of New Hampshire | April 16–20, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 25% | 1% | 18% |
| University of New Hampshire | February 12–16, 2026 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 59% | 23% | 2% | 16% |
| Suffolk University | November 19–23, 2025 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 29% | — | 19% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ed Markey (incumbent) | ||||
| Republican | John Deaton | ||||
| Socialism and Liberation | Joe Tache | ||||
| Independent | Shiva Ayyadurai | ||||
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | 100.0 | ||||
{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)Former history teacher Alex Rikleen, a Democrat running for U.S. Senate, is dropping his bid and endorsing incumbent Ed Markey over Rep. Seth Moulton.
Trahan is also keeping an eye on the Bay State's Senate race. Earlier this year she endorsed incumbent Ed Markey. The congresswoman says she plans to stick with that decision even if others, like Rep. Ayanna Pressley, join the fray.
But she's not getting involved in the Democratic Senate primary playing out at home. Healey has no plans to endorse either US Representative Seth Moulton or Senator Ed Markey, she told WBUR.
Baker is currently the head of the NCAA and a spokesman for the organization dismissed the rumors, saying Baker is 'not running for any political office.'
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)