31st Saskatchewan general election

31st Saskatchewan general election
← 2024
On or before October 30, 2028
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61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Scott Moe Carla Beck
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic
Leader since January 27, 2018 June 26, 2022
Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Regina Lakeview
Last election 34 seats, 52.3% 27 seats, 40.4%
Incumbent Premier

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan


The 31st Saskatchewan general election will elect members of the Legislative Assembly to serve in the 31st Saskatchewan Legislature. The Election Act requires that the election be held on October 30, 2028 but it may be called earlier.

Background

Since 2007, the Saskatchewan Party has been the province's governing party.

Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to the Legislative Assembly Act, 2007, "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020." Subsequent elections, must occur "on the last Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the last general election." However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 7, 2025. The fixed election law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Opinion polls

Opinion polls
Polling firm Client Dates conducted Source SK Party NDP United Green PC Buffalo Others Margin
of error		 Sample
size		 Polling method Lead
Angus Reid Institute N/A Oct 22–26, 2026 51% 40% — 1% — — 8% ±4% 505 Online 11%
Abacus Data N/A Oct 5–13, 2026 48% 46% — — — — 6% ±3.1% 1,000 Online 2%
Insightrix Saskatchewan NDP Apr 2026 45% 45% 3% 2% — 1% 4% N/A 612 Online Tie
Angus Reid Institute N/A Nov 26 – Dec 1, 2025 55% 39% — 2% — — 5% ±5% 326 Online 16%
Angus Reid Institute N/A Aug 28 – Sep 5, 2025 54% 41% — 1% — — 6% ±5% 296 Online 13%
Canadian Election Study N/A Apr 29 – May 13, 2025 46% 29% — 2% 14% 2% 8% N/A 314 Online 17%
2024 general election Oct 28, 2024 52.3% 40.4% 3.9% 1.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% N/a N/a N/a 11.9%

Opinion poll sources

  1. ↑ "Saskatchewan Party maintains comfortable advantage at halfway mark in term". Angus Reid Institute. October 27, 2026. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
  2. ↑ Brown, Curtis; Coletto, David (October 22, 2026). "Saskatchewan Party, NDP neck and neck as half of residents say it's time for a change". Abacus Data. Retrieved October 22, 2026.
  3. ↑ Cairns, John (April 30, 2026). "NDP touts new poll showing a horserace with Sask Party". Moose Jaw Today. Harvard Media. Retrieved May 1, 2026.
  4. ↑ "Government satisfaction scores fall like winter snow as Canadians blanketed in cost-of-living challenges". Angus Reid Institute. December 18, 2025. Retrieved December 18, 2025.
  5. ↑ "Cross-Canada Outlook – Provincial Issues, Politics, and Government Performance: Saskatchewan". Angus Reid Institute. September 11, 2025. Retrieved May 1, 2026.
  6. ↑ Stephenson, Laura B; Harell, Allison; Rubenson, Daniel (May 29, 2026). 2025 Canadian Election Study (CES) (Report). Harvard Dataverse, V1. doi:10.7910/DVN/2YAQ8D.

References

  1. ↑ "FAQ's". Elections SK. Retrieved December 20, 2025.
  2. ↑ "Sask. gov't announces 2020 election date, tables election law changes". Global News. Archived from the original on August 20, 2020. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  3. ↑ "Saskatchewan adjusting 2020 provincial, municipal election dates". Regina Leader Post. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  4. 1 2 "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 21, 2018. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  5. ↑ "2024 General Election Official Results". October 28, 2024.