Next Thuringian state election

Next Thuringian state election

← 2024
2029

All 88 seats in the Landtag of Thuringia
45 seats needed for a majority
 
Party AfD CDU BSW
Last election 32 seats, 32.8% 23 seats, 23.6% 15 seats, 15.8%
Current seats 32 23 2

 
Party Left SPD TG
Last election 12 seats, 13.1% 6 seats, 6.1% Did not exist
Current seats 12 6 9

Incumbent Government

Voigt cabinet
CDU–TG–SPD



The next election to the Landtag of Thuringia is scheduled for 2029.

Background

In the 2024 Thuringian state election, the AfD, led by Björn Höcke, became the first far-right party in Germany since the Nazi Party to win a plurality of seats in a state election. However, Mario Voigt from the CDU was elected Minister-President on the first ballot with 51 votes in favor, 33 votes against, and 4 abstentions. His party formed a minority coalition with the SPD and the BSW, referred to in the media as a "blackberry coalition". To achieve confirmation and reach the necessary majority, the Left – which positioned itself as "constructive opposition" – provided some of the votes in favor. Following the early 2026 collapse of the SPD–BSW fourth Woidke cabinet in Brandenburg due to several BSW MdLs leaving the party, this was the only coalition involving the BSW in any state.

Coalition crisis and constructive votes of no confidence

In January 2026, TU Chemnitz revoked Voigt's doctorate degree after confirming allegations that part of his dissertation was plagiarized. The AfD filed a constructive vote of no confidence in response with Höcke as the proposed Minister-President, which failed with 33 votes out of the necessary 45 in favor.

In August, after Voigt's appeal against the revocation was denied, Höcke proposed another constructive vote of no confidence but with Sahra Wagenknecht as the Minister-President candidate instead. The AfD and BSW would have a majority together, and Wagenknecht previously stated that the BSW should support a potential AfD government under an independent Minister-President if her party enters the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt at the 2026 election. She called the proposal "neither honest nor serious" but added that Voigt had lost trust and the state party should revoke its support.

On 17 August, two BSW MdLs, Anke Wirsing and Sven Küntzel, released a statement that they had lost confidence in Voigt. With the presence of the Left working with the government as a constructive opposition, this did not itself bring down the government. Wagenknecht again called for the end of the coalition and the installation of an independent Minister-President who would work with all parties. State party leader Katja Wolf criticized Wagenknecht and federal BSW leadership for carrying out "intentional destabilization" of the coalition, which she said was working quietly and constructively together.

On 19 August, the AfD formally proposed the second constructive vote of no confidence – once again with Höcke as the replacement candidate – to be voted on in a special session on 28 August. The vote once again failed with 33 votes in favor, 49 against, 3 abstaining, 2 invalid ballots and 1 absent.

On 2 September, three BSW MdLs – Dirk Hoffmeister, Roberto Kobel and Stefan Wogawa – left the party and formed their own parliamentary group Your Vote Counts. The three stated that continuing parliamentary work was impossible within the shadow of what they called an "ever-crazier federal leadership". Höcke told the press his party would move to dissolve the Landtag and hold a snap election, though doing so would require a two-thirds majority vote.

This was followed by ten additional BSW MdLs, including Wolf, leaving the party on 4 September along with nearly all of the state executive committee. In a press conference, Wolf said "we were not elected to flirt with right-wing radicals", referring to Wagenknecht's increased public pressure for her party to end its participation in the coalition and the long-standing firewall policy and work with the AfD. They founded the new party Thuringia.Just (TG) on 10 September and continued supporting the government. Anke Wirsing and Sven Küntzel remained in the BSW and form a rump parliamentary group, which is now in the opposition.

The AfD motion to dissolve the Landtag was voted down on 7 October with 34 yes votes and 52 no votes; a two-thirds majority of 59 votes was required and only the AfD bloc and Wirsing and Küntzel voted for it. Before the special session to vote on the motion, Voigt announced he would be withdrawing a lawsuit against TU Chemnitz, thus ending all efforts to have his doctoral degree restored.

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Curve of the polling for the 2029 Thuringian State Election

Party polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
AfD CDU BSW Linke SPD Grüne FDP Others Lead
INSA 23–30 Jun 2026 1,000 40 22 7 16 6 4 – 5 18
INSA 27 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 1,000 39 24 7 14 6 3 – 7 15
INSA 27 Jan – 2 Feb 2026 1,000 38 24 7 14 7 3 – 7 14
INSA 2–9 Dec 2025 1,000 39 24 7 14 6 3 – 7 15
INSA 2–9 Sep 2025 1,000 37 25 9 14 7 3 – 5 12
INSA 29 Apr – 6 May 2025 1,000 35 24 11 14 8 3 – 5 11
2025 federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 38.6 18.6 9.4 15.2 8.8 4.2 2.8 - 20.0
INSA 27 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 1,000 35 25 13 11 7 4 – 5 10
INSA 2–9 Dec 2024 1,000 34 25 14 12 7 4 – 4 9
INSA 28 Nov – 4 Dec 2024 1,000 34 25 14 13 6 – – 8 9
2024 state election 1 Sep 2024 – 32.8 23.6 15.8 13.1 6.1 3.2 1.1 4.3 9.2

Minister-President polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Other/Don't know Lead
Höcke
AfD
Voigt
CDU
Wolf
TG
Maier
SPD
INSA 27 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 1,000 20 18 9 6 47 2
INSA 27 Jan – 3 Feb 2025 1,000 21 26 — — 43 5

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Polled as a member of the BSW. She left the party in September 2026 and formed her own party Thüringen.Gerecht.

References

  1. ↑ "German far right wins first major election since World War II". The Washington Post. 1 September 2024. Archived from the original on 1 September 2024. Retrieved 2 September 2024.
  2. ↑ "Thüringen: Erster Wahlgang: CDU-Chef Mario Voigt ist neuer Ministerpräsident von Thüringen". tagesschau.de (in German). 12 December 2024.
  3. ↑ "Thüringen: AfD-Misstrauensvotum: Voigt bleibt Ministerpräsident - Höcke gescheitert". mdr.de (in German). 4 February 2026.
  4. ↑ "Höcke will Wagenknecht zur Ministerpräsidentin machen: „Ich reiche Ihnen die Hand" - WELT". DIE WELT (in German). 13 August 2026.
  5. ↑ Eydlin, Alexander (13 August 2026). "Thüringen: Wagenknecht weist Ministerpräsidentinnen-Vorschlag von Höcke zurück". Die Zeit (in German).
  6. ↑ "Thüringen: Brombeer-Koalition bröckelt – zwei BSW-Abgeordnete tragen Voigts Regierung nicht mehr mit - WELT". DIE WELT (in German). 17 August 2026.
  7. ↑ ""Thüringen als Spielball" - BSW plant Sonderparteitag nach Wagenknecht-Streit". mdr.de (in German). 18 August 2026.
  8. ↑ "AfD-Chef Höcke als Ministerpräsident? So lief die Abstimmung". mdr.de (in German).
  9. ↑ Voigt, Eric (2 September 2026). "Thüringen: Drei Abgeordnete verlassen Thüringer BSW-Fraktion". Die Zeit (in German).
  10. ↑ "Weitere Abgeordnete verlassen BSW - und gründen neue Partei". mdr.de (in German).
  11. ↑ "BSW zerfällt in Thüringen: Was bedeutet das jetzt für Regierung und Landtag?". mdr.de (in German). 4 September 2026.
  12. ↑ Rothe, Yannick von Eisenhart (7 October 2026). "Thüringen: AfD-Antrag auf Parlamentsauflösung in Thüringen gescheitert". Die Zeit (in German). dpa.