Parametric model
Definition
A statistical model is a collection of probability distributions on some sample space . We assume that the collection,
P
{\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}}
, is indexed by some set Θ . The set Θ is called the parameter set or, more commonly, the parameter space . For each θ ∈ Θ , let Fθ denote the corresponding member of the collection; so Fθ is a cumulative distribution function . Then a statistical model can be written as
P
=
{
F
θ
|
θ
∈
Θ
}
.
{\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}={\big \{}F_{\theta }\ {\big |}\ \theta \in \Theta {\big \}}.}
The model is a parametric model if Θ ⊆ ℝk for some positive integer k .
When the model consists of absolutely continuous distributions, it is often specified in terms of corresponding probability density functions .
P
=
{
f
θ
|
θ
∈
Θ
}
.
{\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}={\big \{}f_{\theta }\ {\big |}\ \theta \in \Theta {\big \}}.}
Examples
The Poisson family of distributions is parametrized by a single number λ > 0 :
P
=
{
p
λ
(
j
)
=
λ
j
j
!
e
−
λ
,
j
=
0
,
1
,
2
,
3
,
…
|
λ
>
0
}
,
{\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}={\Big \{}\ p_{\lambda }(j)={\tfrac {\lambda ^{j}}{j!}}e^{-\lambda },\ j=0,1,2,3,\dots \ {\Big |}\;\;\lambda >0\ {\Big \}},}
where pλ is the probability mass function . This family is an exponential family .
The normal family is parametrized by θ = (μ , σ ) , where μ ∈ ℝ is a location parameter and σ > 0 is a scale parameter:
P
=
{
f
θ
(
x
)
=
1
2
π
σ
exp
(
−
(
x
−
μ
)
2
2
σ
2
)
|
μ
∈
R
,
σ
>
0
}
.
{\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}={\Big \{}\ f_{\theta }(x)={\tfrac {1}{{\sqrt {2\pi }}\sigma }}\exp \left(-{\tfrac {(x-\mu )^{2}}{2\sigma ^{2}}}\right)\ {\Big |}\;\;\mu \in \mathbb {R} ,\sigma >0\ {\Big \}}.}
This parametrized family is both an exponential family and a location-scale family .
P
=
{
f
θ
(
x
)
=
β
λ
(
x
−
μ
λ
)
β
−
1
exp
(
−
(
x
−
μ
λ
)
β
)
1
{
x
>
μ
}
|
λ
>
0
,
β
>
0
,
μ
∈
R
}
,
{\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}={\Big \{}\ f_{\theta }(x)={\tfrac {\beta }{\lambda }}\left({\tfrac {x-\mu }{\lambda }}\right)^{\beta -1}\!\exp \!{\big (}\!-\!{\big (}{\tfrac {x-\mu }{\lambda }}{\big )}^{\beta }{\big )}\,\mathbf {1} _{\{x>\mu \}}\ {\Big |}\;\;\lambda >0,\,\beta >0,\,\mu \in \mathbb {R} \ {\Big \}},}
where
β
{\displaystyle \beta }
is the shape parameter ,
λ
{\displaystyle \lambda }
is the scale parameter and
μ
{\displaystyle \mu }
is the location parameter .
The binomial model is parametrized by θ = (n , p ) , where n is a non-negative integer and p is a probability (i.e. p ≥ 0 and p ≤ 1 ):
P
=
{
p
θ
(
k
)
=
n
!
k
!
(
n
−
k
)
!
p
k
(
1
−
p
)
n
−
k
,
k
=
0
,
1
,
2
,
…
,
n
|
n
∈
Z
≥
0
,
p
≥
0
∧
p
≤
1
}
.
{\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}={\Big \{}\ p_{\theta }(k)={\tfrac {n!}{k!(n-k)!}}\,p^{k}(1-p)^{n-k},\ k=0,1,2,\dots ,n\ {\Big |}\;\;n\in \mathbb {Z} _{\geq 0},\,p\geq 0\land p\leq 1{\Big \}}.}
This example illustrates the definition for a model with some discrete parameters.
A parametric model is called identifiable if the mapping θ ↦ Pθ is invertible, i.e. there are no two different parameter values θ 1 and θ 2 such that P θ 1 = P θ 2 .
Comparisons with other classes of models
Parametric models are contrasted with the semi-parametric , semi-nonparametric , and non-parametric models , all of which consist of an infinite set of "parameters" for description. The distinction between these four classes is as follows:[ citation needed ]
in a "parametric " model all the parameters are in finite-dimensional parameter spaces;
a model is "non-parametric " if all the parameters are in infinite-dimensional parameter spaces;
a "semi-parametric " model contains finite-dimensional parameters of interest and infinite-dimensional nuisance parameters ;
a "semi-nonparametric " model has both finite-dimensional and infinite-dimensional unknown parameters of interest.
Some statisticians believe that the concepts "parametric", "non-parametric", and "semi-parametric" are ambiguous. It can also be noted that the set of all probability measures has a cardinality of the continuum , and therefore it is possible to parametrize any model at all by a single number in the (0,1) interval. This difficulty can be avoided by considering only "smooth" parametric models.
Bibliography
Bickel, Peter J. ; Doksum, Kjell A. (2001), Mathematical Statistics: Basic and selected topics , vol. 1 (Second (updated printing 2007) ed.), Prentice-Hall
Bickel, Peter J. ; Klaassen, Chris A. J.; Ritov, Ya’acov; Wellner, Jon A. (1998), Efficient and Adaptive Estimation for Semiparametric Models , Springer
Davison, A. C. (2003), Statistical Models , Cambridge University Press
Le Cam, Lucien ; Yang, Grace Lo (2000), Asymptotics in Statistics: Some basic concepts (2nd ed.), Springer
Lehmann, Erich L. ; Casella, George (1998), Theory of Point Estimation (2nd ed.), Springer
Liese, Friedrich; Miescke, Klaus-J. (2008), Statistical Decision Theory: Estimation, testing, and selection , Springer
Pfanzagl, Johann; with the assistance of R. Hamböker (1994), Parametric Statistical Theory , Walter de Gruyter , MR 1291393