2026 United States elections

2026 United States elections
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Midterm elections
Election dayNovember 3
Incumbent president▌Donald Trump (R)
Next Congress120th
Senate elections
Seats contested35 of 100 seats
(33 seats of Class II + 2 special elections)
2026 United States Senate special election in Florida2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio2026 United States Senate election in Alabama2026 United States Senate election in Alaska2026 United States Senate election in Arkansas2026 United States Senate election in Colorado2026 United States Senate election in Delaware2026 United States Senate election in Georgia2026 United States Senate election in Idaho2026 United States Senate election in Illinois2026 United States Senate election in Iowa2026 United States Senate election in Kansas2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky2026 United States Senate election in Louisiana2026 United States Senate election in Maine2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts2026 United States Senate election in Michigan2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota2026 United States Senate election in Mississippi2026 United States Senate election in Montana2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska2026 United States Senate election in New Hampshire2026 United States Senate election in New Jersey2026 United States Senate election in New Mexico2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina2026 United States Senate election in Oklahoma2026 United States Senate election in Oregon2026 United States Senate election in Rhode Island2026 United States Senate election in South Carolina2026 United States Senate election in South Dakota2026 United States Senate election in Tennessee2026 United States Senate election in Texas2026 United States Senate election in Virginia2026 United States Senate election in West Virginia2026 United States Senate election in Wyoming
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent retiring
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent retiring or lost renomination
     No election
House elections
Seats contestedAll 435 voting members
5 of 6 non-voting delegates
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent retiring or lost renomination
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent retiring or lost renomination
     Independent incumbent
     No incumbent      Vacant
Gubernatorial elections
Seats contested39 (36 states, 3 territories)
2026 Alabama gubernatorial election2026 Alaska gubernatorial election2026 Arizona gubernatorial election2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election2026 California gubernatorial election2026 Colorado gubernatorial election2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election2026 Florida gubernatorial election2026 Georgia gubernatorial election2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election2026 Idaho gubernatorial election2026 Illinois gubernatorial election2026 Iowa gubernatorial election2026 Kansas gubernatorial election2026 Maine gubernatorial election2026 Maryland gubernatorial election2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election2026 Michigan gubernatorial election2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election2026 Nevada gubernatorial election2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election2026 New York gubernatorial election2026 Ohio gubernatorial election2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election2026 Oregon gubernatorial election2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election2026 Texas gubernatorial election2026 Vermont gubernatorial election2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election2026 Guam gubernatorial election2026 Northern Mariana Islands gubernatorial election2026 United States Virgin Islands gubernatorial election
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent term-limited, retiring, or lost renomination
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent term-limited or retiring
     Retiring Independent
     No election

Elections are scheduled to be held, in large part, on November 3, 2026, in the United States. In these midterm elections, scheduled to occur during Republican president Donald Trump's second term, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress. Thirty-nine state and territorial U.S. gubernatorial elections, attorney general elections, and numerous state and local elections, will also be contested.

The lead-up to the elections was marked by an inflation surge amidst the United States affordability crisis, including on gas, healthcare, and food prices. Polling indicated this was the top issue for voters ahead of the elections. The unpopular 2026 Iran war, driven by deliberate Iranian shipping attacks and prolonged diplomatic talks aimed at raising gas prices ahead of elections, along with tariffs, contributed to high prices. Other key issues include opposition to water, energy, and pollution-intensive AI data centers; restrictions on abortion; corruption; and foreign policy, including relations with American allies along with proposed expansionism.

The Democratic Party is anticipated by analysts to win the House, and the Senate has become competitive following strong polling in favor of Democrats in Republican territory. Analysts describe record low approval ratings for Trump as being a drag on down-ballot Republican races.

Trump called on Republican-led states to enact rare mid-decade redistricting to boost the party's chances of holding power ahead of historical losses for the incumbent party during midterm elections. The moves prompted reciprocal redistricting from Democratic-led states through measures such as California's Election Rigging Response Act. In April 2026, the Supreme Court ruled in Louisiana v. Callais that parts of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 which enabled the creation of majority-minority districts were unconstitutional. The ruling was expected to create additional Republican districts, and some scholars classified it as allowing for legal discrimination against minorities. The Trump administration involve made repeated false claims of voter fraud and used taxpayer dollars to fund Republican campaign advertisements.

Background

In the 2024 United States presidential election, Republican nominee Donald Trump defeated Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. Key issues shaping the campaign included public concern for the post-pandemic recovery and rising inflation.

ABC News, CBS News, Fox News, NBC News, the Associated Press, MS Now and CNN will use the Voter Poll by SSRS to gather voter preferences and opinions for the 2026 elections. From 2018 to 2024, ABC, NBC, CBS and CNN used data from the National Election Pool while the Associated Press and Fox News relied on AP VoteCast.

The Republican Party performed worse than expected in the November 2025 general elections. Democratic candidates Abigail Spanberger of Virginia and Mikie Sherrill of New Jersey won their gubernatorial races over their Republican opponents by larger than expected margins. Democrats performed strongly in the concurrent state legislative elections, winning a supermajority in the New Jersey General Assembly and expanding their majority in the Virginia House of Delegates. In New York City, Democrat Zohran Mamdani, a self-identified democratic socialist, was elected mayor in a three-way race against Republican Curtis Sliwa and independent former governor Andrew Cuomo, who ran as a moderate relative to Mamdani. The main theme of the elections was the United States affordability crisis.

2026 election developments and analysis

Voters' views of Trump's presidency will likely be a factor in the election. During the 2025 off-year elections, exit polls found that many voted in opposition to Trump or said that he was not a factor. Surveys released in late 2025 and early 2026 found that many viewed Trump's handling of the economy and immigration, two issues that propelled him to victory in the 2024 election, negatively. During elections held in his first term, Trump was on the minds of many who voted. In September 2026, Trump featured in a two-day midterm convention in Dallas to rally support and raise funds—historically, this type of event is reserved for presidential election years, although the Democratic National Committee had previously held midterm-year party conferences in 1974, 1978 and 1982. Many Republicans on the ballot attended, but many also chose to forego the event, which RNC Chairman Joe Gruters dubbed a "Trump-a-Palooza."

President Donald Trump has promised that if Republicans win both the House and Senate, he will give every American adult $5,000. This proposal would cost American taxpayers approximately $1.25 trillion to provide payments to about 250 million adults. As of October 3, 2026, the national debt stands at $40 trillion.

The outbreak of the 2026 Iran war on February 28 introduced a further complicating factor, with rising gasoline prices and other economic challenges emerging as central electoral concerns. Analysts argued that gasoline prices represented the most direct channel through which the costs of the Iran war were transmitted to American voters, and that domestic electoral pressure from fuel costs was a primary political driver behind the Trump administration's push toward a ceasefire ahead of the November midterms. In response to the general unpopularity and economic concerns of the Iran war, several Republican candidates have distanced themselves from Trump and his approach to the war and have called for operations in Iran to end. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer compared the political environment in 2026 to the one in 2006, when dissatisfaction with George W. Bush's handling of the Iraq war led to many Democratic victories in the elections that year.

The nearly seven-month-old war in Iran became a political liability for some vulnerable Republican candidates ahead of the November midterms. In September 2026, two Republicans in tight Senate races — Mike Rogers of Michigan and Ashley Hinson of Iowa — called for a swift end to the conflict, distancing themselves from President Trump. Hinson, who had voted six times against measures to curb Trump's war powers, said Iowans "shouldn't have to foot the bill at the pump or the checkout line for the war in Iran." Rogers, who had previously backed Trump's strikes, released a campaign ad urging that the war "end and end quickly." The shift came as Trump's approval rating fell to 32%, a career low, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, with Americans souring on both his handling of the economy and the war. Diesel prices reached record highs, a particular concern in Iowa, where agriculture plays an outsized role in the state's economy. Other Republicans also moved to distance themselves: Iowa Representatives Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks reversed their stances and voted to limit Trump's war powers, while Representative Maria Elvira Salazar of Florida warned that Trump's immigration crackdown had gone too far. Democrats characterized the moves as election-year repositioning. By mid-October, the same polling series put Trump's approval at 31% — a record low for either of his terms and a point below where it stood two weeks earlier. The same Reuters/Ipsos survey had Democrats ahead of Republicans 47% to 35% on the generic congressional ballot, a 12-point gap that was the widest of the election cycle.

The administration's immigration policies, including deportations by ICE due to strengthened funding via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, were also scrutinized. Polling found that Hispanics, who were considered a key reason for Trump's victory in the 2024 election, overwhelmingly disapproved of Trump and had largely swung back towards Democrats due to economic concerns and dissatisfaction of Trump's handling of immigration and deportation. An October Reuters/Ipsos poll found that majorities said the cost of living was their top issue for the election and that 76% of Americans blamed Trump's policies for increasing inflation, including 57% of Republicans. Signs of an enthusiasm gap between Republican and Democratic voters were noted by analysts as possibly forecasting a Democratic "blue wave". In September 2026, American political analyst Charlie Cook described this phenomenon as a "red undertow", arguing that anticipated Democratic victories would come not from a rising Democratic tide, but a drowning Trump brand.

A month before the election, polling consistently found that Democratic candidates were leading key races for state governorships and those that would determine control of the Senate, with large swings towards Democratic candidates by independent voters. The New York Times highlighted how Kansas, a state that had not elected a Democratic Senator since the Second World War, had become a competitive battleground amid an unexpected surge of Democratic support deep in Republican territory. Democratic support came amidst multiple polls finding record-low approval ratings for Trump which some analysts considered was negatively impacting down-ballot races. Trump repeatedly told voters to pretend he was on the ballot to increase Republican enthusiasm which Democrats and some analysts considered a mistake owing to his low approval ratings. Increasing concerns about the Republicans' position in the November midterm elections have exposed tensions within Donald Trump's political structure. According to Reuters, Trump criticized his advisers for their election strategy, including decisions related to campaign spending and candidate selection. This is despite polls suggesting that Democrats could gain control of the House of Representatives.

In October, the Trump administration called for Ukraine to replace Volodymyr Zelenskyy as the nation's president and struck a deal with Russia to purchase the country's fuel in an effort to bring down diesel prices before the elections, and deepened Russian-American cooperation. The fuel deal was criticized by Democrats and some Republicans for undercutting the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, which allowed the president to waive tariffs or sanctions if he certified to Congress that doing so was in the national interest of the United States, a provision that some Democratic lawmakers concerned about Trump unilaterally lifting the sanctions against Russia pointed to in their opposition to the bill.

Foreign interference

Foreign nations have sought to interfere with the 2026 elections. Since 2016, "the Kremlin has initiated online influence operations in every American federal election cycle" according to declassified intelligence documents. According to US intelligence officials, in 2026, Russia is targeting Americans with covert online disinformation campaigns to undermine confidence in the election and seed and promote domestic divisions with the goal to "inject chaos". No evidence exists that Russia has attempted to take aim at voting machinery or compromise the voting process. US intelligence officials have described the effort as less extensive and coordinated than prior years, with officials speculating Russia is less interested in midterm races than presidential contests and is distracted by the Russo-Ukrainian war.

US intelligence has speculated Iran may have engaged in online influence efforts, and in August 2026 Meta Platforms reported a small number of accounts on Facebook and Instagram originating from Iran spreading AI generated content with "anti-Republican views". US intelligence speculates that unlike prior years where China supported or opposed individual candidates based on their views, it may stay out of the 2026 elections due to fears of blowback. On October 14, 2026, the social network X suspended more than 13,000 accounts linked to Iran, Russia, and China ahead of the US midterm elections.

On July 30, Trump alleged that China had collected 220 million American voter identification files including private information in 2022 and that it amounted to election interference. Trump then declassified intelligence records he presented as evidence the US election system falls "catastrophically short". Election experts pushed back on some of the claims, stating that voter registration files are public and easily accessible in most states and would not necessarily allow interference with the voting process. On September 28, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced the Department of Defense would launch an effort dedicated to combating foreign meddling in US elections that would use "advanced intelligence and cyber capabilities to identify, disrupt, and neutralize foreign interference". Democratic leaders of the House and Senate intelligence committees have expressed worry that Trump will use claims of foreign interference in an attempt to intervene in the midterm elections.

Attempted election subversion by Republicans

The second Trump administration has issued executive orders and other presidential directives instituting federal department and agency actions that have impacted election administration by state governments, federal election security and campaign finance agencies, and offices within the U.S. Justice Department for enforcing voting rights protections. The administration's actions on election law and voting rights have occurred alongside the administration's targeting of political opponents and Republican Party efforts to disrupt voting after the 2024 presidential election. Election lawyers at the Brennan Center for Justice and Democracy Docket have described the administration's actions as election subversion, while surveys of U.S. political scientists conducted after Trump returned to office have found a consensus that the United States is transitioning towards illiberal democracy and competitive authoritarianism.

In January 2026, The Washington Post reported that the second Trump administration had undertaken several tactics, including mid-decade redrawing of congressional districts for partisan gain, prosecution of political opponents, and a push to change voting methods and rules, that were meant to undermine confidence in the midterm elections. In October 2026, a New York Times analysis found Trump had attacked the integrity of US elections more than 70% of the days since he returned to office, particularly with false claims about "rigged" voting machines and fraudulent mail-in ballots.

Upon returning to office, the Trump administration has dismantled election security efforts across the federal government. Such cuts have included: firing or reassigning personnel at the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency focused on elections; defunding training programs for the Elections Infrastructure Information Sharing and Analysis Center; eliminating the FBI's foreign influence taskforce; downsizing and announcing closure of the Foreign Malign Influence Center; and firing all members of the independent Election Assistance Commission.

Trump appointed prominent 2020 election deniers into positions in government that could oversee the voting process. In the lead up to the election, pro-Trump conspiracy theorists and election deniers have won local races responsible for overseeing election results, and several election deniers are running for electoral offices in battleground states.

SAVE America Act

The Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, also known as the SAVE Act or SAVE America Act, is a proposed United States federal law that requires documentary proof of U.S. citizenship in order to register to vote in U.S. federal elections. The bill was introduced amid unsubstantiated claims that there was significant election fraud in previous elections, including voting by undocumented immigrants, as part of the immigration policies of the second Donald Trump administration. Opponents have claimed that the bill would disenfranchise eligible voters.

In March, the House of Representatives passed the SAVE America Act, an amended version of the previously proposed Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act. The bill, if approved by the Senate and signed into law by Trump, would have required voters to provide proof of citizenship in order to obtain or renew their voter registration. Voting rights experts said that such provisions would disenfranchise married women, racial minorities, low-income groups, and people who legally changed their name, among others. The bill ultimately died in the Senate that June, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block its inclusion.

Cancellation and nationalization of elections

In January, Trump floated the idea of illegally canceling the elections, citing an expected loss in the elections and a distrust in democratic systems. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt later stated that Trump was "speaking facetiously", and was "simply joking". In February, Trump stated that the elections should be nationalized to prevent voter fraud.

On February 27, The Washington Post reported that several right-wing activists are working with the Trump administration to draft an executive order which, if signed, would effectively instate a national emergency and give Trump extended powers over the elections. Trump denied the existence of such an order.

According to ABC News, Trump met prominent election denier Tina Peters on October 5 at the White House. Speaking to conservative podcaster Joe Oltmann on October 8, Peters' attorney stated that Trump "is not going to relinquish control again" if he believes the elections are rigged, and that "It's better if we're going to have a civil war of any sort that it be martial law with our side in control of the armaments."

Concerns over ICE at polling places

In February, Steve Bannon said the federal government was planning to send ICE to patrol polling stations in an attempt to prevent a Democratic victory, vowing to "never again allow an election to be stolen". In March, Stateline reported that legislation to "restrict immigration enforcement or the presence of federal forces" near polling places and other election sites has been offered or announced in California, Connecticut, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia and Washington. The same month, the Associated Press reported that several Democratic-led states including New Mexico and Virginia are taking steps to counter potential tactics to intimidate voters. In May, Ned Lamont, the governor of Connecticut, signed into law a bill that restricts immigration enforcement at locations including schools and places of worship. The legislation also prohibits law enforcement from wearing facial coverings or personal disguises.

Federal investigations and false claims of voter fraud

Internal documents reviewed by The New York Times found a widespread effort by the federal government to promote mistrust in the integrity of the 2026 election, with homeland security officials investigating over 150 nonprofit organizations they allege are helping noncitizens to vote. Trump and Republicans have repeatedly made false and unsubstantiated claims of massive voter fraud by noncitizens, with The Times describing Trump as making the case that "any Democratic election victory is suspicious on its face".

As part of investigations into election-integrity, the Justice Department has demanded voter registration data from states, suing 23 states and the District of Columbia that declined to provide unredacted voter rolls; all of the sued states were led by Democrats or had been won by Joe Biden in 2020. In January 2026, a federal judge blocked the Trump administration from threatening to withhold election funding from states that did not provide their voter information or alter their voter registration forms or voter systems. Also in January 2026, U.S. District Judge David Carter dismissed the department's lawsuit against California, which had sought personal information including partial Social Security numbers for roughly 23 million registered voters, ruling that the demands violated privacy laws and writing that federal centralization of the data would have a "chilling effect" on voter registration; a federal judge dismissed a similar lawsuit against Oregon later that month. The department appealed the California ruling to the Ninth Circuit. In June 2026, federal prosecutors in Los Angeles publicly accused the state of blocking a voter roll audit and said they were conducting election fraud investigations while ballots from the state's June primary were still being counted.

The Department of Homeland Security engaged in a widespread effort to investigate supposed voter fraud. Per internal documents released by the advocacy group Democracy Forward, efforts have relied on the Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) division of Immigration and Customs Enforcement, which CNN described as part of a "phased national initiative involving voter-roll acquisition, data analysis, investigative leads and field investigations". A June 1 HSI report documented the Justice Department had reviewed more than 50.6 million records and an additional 48.4 million records from Heather Honey obtained through "independent sources of information". The 50.6 million records were speculated to have been received by unredacted voter lists handed over by over a dozen Republican states months prior. By October 2026, the Justice Department had sued 30 states to hand over their voter information.

In July, Trump and DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin alleged they had discovered 270,000 noncitizens on voter roles in Nevada, California, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. Letters sent to states days later acknowledged the numbers had been inflated, noting Trump had stated "there may be as many as", and the letters did not offer any proof of the claims. Mullin later claimed there were 15,903 noncitizen voters in Nevada, although the Department of Homeland Security later admitted in a meeting with Nevada election officials the claim was unsubstantiated. DHS then stated 185 of the 15,903 were noncitizens of which Nevada disputed, saying after a state review all 185 were citizens and that DHS had "never provided Nevada with a list of 15,903 individuals" to begin with.

Ahead of the elections, Trump made false claims of voter fraud through mail-in ballots, calling it "corrupt" and "cheating", and encouraged Republican lawmakers to pass strict voter ID laws claiming it would "guarantee the midterms" for the GOP. In March 2026, Trump signed a new executive order on elections which would require the government to compile a list of eligible voters in each state and only allow the United States Post Office to send ballots to verified voters. Election experts described the effort as likely unconstitutional, and the announcement was met with promises to sue by voter rights groups and Democratic officials. On September 4, Judge Indira Talwani issued a preliminary injunction against the USPS plan, finding it likely illegal and noting USPS had no authority to control mail-in voting, and Judge Carl J. Nichols issued another preliminary injunction against the plan on September 13. On September 14, the Supreme Court ruled against the Trump administration's attempt to screen mail-in ballots finding the government was "unlikely to succeed on the merits" and that it would implement chaos and confusion ahead of the elections. Following the ruling, state election officials were described as moving to restore faith in mail-in voting, and Trump later encouraged Republicans to vote by mail.

In September, the Supreme Court allowed the administration to use the Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlements system to check voter rolls for noncitizens, although federal law prohibits "systematically" removing voters from voter rolls 90 days before an election. The Trump administration had overhauled the system to combine social security and other data to create a master database of citizens per Executive Order 14248. Lawsuits and court rulings had previously blocked implementation of the system, with judges finding the overhaul had violated law in combining private information and had removed eligible voters from voter rolls.

Activists say they are preparing large-scale demonstrations if the Trump administration attempts to interfere with voting or the counting of ballots. At the same time, legal experts are publishing guidance for judges on how to respond if the government attempts to take control of ballots.

FBI raids

In January 2026, FBI agents executed a search warrant at the Fulton County, Georgia, election center, seizing approximately 600 boxes of ballots and other records from the 2020 presidential election, an action election law experts described as unprecedented federal intervention in locally administered elections. Federal investigations of the 2020 election subsequently expanded to several states: the Office of the Director of National Intelligence procured voting machines in Puerto Rico for examination in February, federal officials subpoenaed records of the partisan review of Maricopa County, Arizona's 2020 results in March, the Justice Department demanded ballots cast in Wayne County, Michigan, in April, and FBI agents questioned former poll workers in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, in May.

David Becker, executive director of The Center for Election Innovation & Research, said the investigations were "about the 2026 and 2028 elections" rather than 2020, characterizing them as intimidation of election officials. John Keller, former acting head of the Justice Department's Public Integrity Section, said the administration appeared to be normalizing federal investigation of state elections in preparation for potentially challenging future results.

In June 2026, FBI agents searched the Cleveland offices of the Ohio Organizing Collaborative, a voter registration and community organizing group, seizing computers and questioning staff and volunteers across Ohio as part of a Justice Department investigation into the group's voter registration efforts; the Brennan Center for Justice said the search fit a pattern of federal inquiries targeting voting infrastructure ahead of the midterm elections.

Pro-Trump television ads

Five weeks before the midterm elections, the Department of Homeland Security allocated $20M in taxpayer funds initially reserved for Customs and Border Protection from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act to air campaign-style television ads promoting Donald Trump, drawing widespread bipartisan criticism. The White House defended the ads as "public service announcements" aimed at promoting patriotism rather than campaigning. Senate Majority Leader John Thune told reporters, "I like the message, but it shouldn't be paid for with taxpayer money." Multiple legal experts contacted by the Associated Press said the advertisements likely violated federal law prohibiting "publicity or propaganda". Following widespread criticism, Trump announced he would pay for the ads via a campaign account, but did not commit to reimbursing the government the $12M already spent on the ad campaign. On October 11, a federal judge issued an order to stop the airing of Trump administration television advertisements funded by taxpayer money, but two other advertisements were also broadcast after the deadline set by the court. The next day, Justice Department lawyers apologized for the incident, saying that legal counsel had not been informed of the court's order in time.

Overall, advertising spending for the 2026 midterm elections surpassed $10 billion by the middle of October.

Political donations

Since July, Elon Musk has spent more than $276 million on right-wing political groups to help maintain the Republican majority. With total spending of about $366 million, he has become the largest donor in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. The donations include $158 million to the Senate Leadership Fund, the largest supporter of Republican Senate candidates, $76 million to America PAC, and $10 million to Lone Star Liberty PAC, which supports Ken Paxton, the Republican Senate candidate in Texas.

Election prediction markets

During the 2026 US midterm elections, betting on election outcomes on prediction platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi has increased significantly. According to a Reuters report on October 14, 2026, an analysis by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) shows that trading volume in these platforms' election markets has exceeded $220 million, while the figure was about $92 million in the 2024 congressional elections.

Louisiana v. Callais

Analysts had predicted that a decision in Callais reducing the scope of the VRA could allow Republicans to gain a significant number of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives from redistricting in the Southeast, where the VRA has generally prevented Republican-controlled legislatures from maximizing their numbers of "safe" districts. The New York Times estimated that, if the Court weakened the VRA, up to twelve seats could shift from Democratic to Republican control.

When the decision in Callais was announced, media outlets characterized it as a "landmark" decision, predicting that the additional restrictions on Section 2 of the VRA would likely make challenges to redistricting significantly more difficult. Analysts expect it will allow southern states to eliminate majority-minority districts, changing election outcomes. The decision was seen by lawyers as the culmination of a long-time grudge of Roberts against the VRA, while media outlets considered the decision as rendering the VRA all but dead and harming the country's democratic process. The ruling was described by critics as starting a new era of Jim Crow laws, allowing for legal discrimination of minorities in the United States. The court's opinion was expected to affect all levels of government including state and local governments.

An analysis from The Guardian found that Justice Alito's claim that Black voter turnout had surpassed white voter turnout in two of the five most recent presidential elections, both nationally and in Louisiana, was based on misleading data and questionable methodology. Alito cited the brief from the Department of Justice which used "a proportion of the total population of each racial group over the age of 18"; however, that approach is "not favored by experts", who instead use "voter turnout as a proportion of the citizen voting age population or the voter eligible population." Following the latter analysis, the gap in voter turnout has actually widened, with Black voter turnout dropping since 2012, particularly after the Supreme Court's opinion in Shelby County v. Holder which struck down the preclearance formula defined in Section 4(b) of the VRA for states with historical discrimination concerns including Louisiana.

Media ban and Republican criticism

In September 2026, Trump barred CNN, MS NOW, and Politico from the White House grounds. The three outlets filed suit, arguing that the ban violated due process and First Amendment protections. The move drew criticism from Republican strategists, who warned that it diverted attention from economic issues ahead of the midterms.

Issues

Leading issues in the election include the economy, particularly inflation, healthcare, and tariffs; opposition to water, energy, and pollution-intensive AI data centers; restrictions on abortion; corruption; and foreign policy, including relations with American allies, the Iran war, along with proposed expansionism.

Economy

The economy, including gas prices, inflation, healthcare, tariffs, and cost of living, is one the primary issues of the election. The second Trump administration has imposed tariffs on much of the world with the intent to re-industrialize the United States. It was criticized by experts and global leaders for worsening inflation. Fuel costs were further increased by the 2026 Iran war. The Trump administration announced in October 2026 that it would buy diesel from Russia and suspend sanctions on Russian diesel until April 2027. The move was intended to lower fuel prices before the November elections. A group of seven senators — four Republicans and three Democrats — criticized the decision. They said it violates the 2022 congressional ban on Russian energy imports. They also said the administration neither consulted Congress nor gave the required legal justification. At the same time, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent defended the agreement, saying the government was acting under existing legal authority and that the deal would reduce prices. Trade, including tariffs, has been a leading issue of the campaign season.

Data released on October 14, 2026, by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed US annual inflation rising to 3.7 per cent in September. That marked an increase from 3.4 per cent in August and exceeded the 3.6 per cent forecast by economists in a Bloomberg poll. It was the first uptick since May. Core inflation, which leaves out food and energy, also surpassed Wall Street expectations, climbing to 2.6 per cent from 2.4 per cent the month before.

Abortion and reproductive rights

Abortion and reproductive rights will be on the ballot.

Corruption

According to a September 2026 Gallup poll, 89% of people believe that there is pervasive corruption within the US government.

While in office, Trump has engaged in unprecedented self-enrichment and faced widespread allegations of corruption. Trump's grants of pardons and clemency have favored political allies and loyalists, with several given after millions in donations or fees. Trump has proactively solicited donations from companies and individuals following which favorable regulatory actions and decisions have occurred. He has maintained an active stock market account with thousands of trades totaling hundreds of millions of dollars. Trump has directly benefited by soliciting his own memecoin $TRUMP and from his family's cryptocurrency company World Liberty Financial which has received investments by anonymous individuals and foreign governments.

According to analysis from The New York Times, anonymous political contributions to the midterm elections, known as "dark money," exceeded $1 billion by late August. This funding is funneled into Super PACs through nonprofit organizations and shell companies, allowing donors to remain undisclosed.

AI data centers

Opposition to water, energy, and pollution-intensive data centers, and unregulated artificial intelligence more broadly, emerged as an unexpected issue during the election. A September 2026 poll found that 70% of Americans oppose data center construction in their own communities. AI opposition has occurred across bipartisan lines, described as "sweeping the globe" by Politico. A September 2026 Quinnipac University poll found that 73% of Americans "would oppose the building of an AI data center in their community" while 21% would support it. The Brookings Institution described the backlash against data centers as part of a broader opposition against "AI power".

Foreign policy

Expansionism

An AI-generated image shared by Donald Trump on Truth Social depicting the United States' closest geographic neighbors under U.S. control, covered in the pattern of the U.S. flag.

Throughout both of his presidencies, U.S. president Donald Trump has expressed a desire to expand the United States' territory and influence through both land purchases and military means.

Trump first stated his desire to annex Greenland during his first presidency; he has pursued a campaign to acquire Greenland during his second presidency. He has also suggested annexation or taking control of Canada, Iceland, Mexico, Cuba, the Panama Canal and Gaza Strip. After proposing an invasion of Venezuela during his first presidency, Trump's second administration removed President Nicolás Maduro as part of Operation Absolute Resolve and stated the U.S. would "run" Venezuela; the Venezuelan government, led by acting president Delcy Rodríguez, remains in place but is far more amicable to American interests than it was under Maduro. Threats were also made against Colombia and then-president Gustavo Petro, which Trump accused of drug trafficking. Amid the 2026 Iran war, Trump lauded about invading and seizing control of both the Strait of Hormuz and Kharg Island from Iran.

Trump's determination to treat the Western Hemisphere as a U.S. sphere of influence has been characterized as a revival of the Monroe Doctrine in what has become known as the Donroe Doctrine. On his orders, U.S. federal agencies adopted new names for shared international waters, renaming the Gulf of Mexico as "Gulf of America" in 2025 and Lake Ontario as "Lake America" in 2026. Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller and Secretary of State Marco Rubio defended the second Trump administration's foreign policy as a matter of operating as a superpower nation and for national security purposes. Numerous politicians outside the U.S. have criticized Trump's annexation comments. The Democratic Party has introduced bills to prevent the Trump administration from invading countries without the approval of Congress.

2026 Iran war

One of the main topics of discussion during the election campaign trail was the conflict with Iran. Tehran has changed its maritime strategy, increasing the kind and speed of offensive attacks against commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, two senior Iranian officials publicly confirmed to Reuters in October 2026. The officials made it clear that the strategic change was authorized at the highest levels of Iranian leadership with the specific goal of frustrating American attempts to lower oil prices, interfere with international energy markets, and use political pressure to affect the outcome of the U.S. election. A senior official referred to the plan as a "game of chess," pointing out that Tehran would not permit Trump to lower oil prices worldwide prior to the election.

Campaign discussions about foreign policy and energy security intensified as a result of the conflict, which cost the United States an estimated $3 billion each month. According to U.S. military sources, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) adjusted by using unarmed spotters in small civilian boats to call in and coordinate targets against merchant and U.S. naval vessels after U.S. forces destroyed much of Iran's coastal radar infrastructure.

Senior Iranian officials claimed during the war that Tehran purposefully extended diplomatic negotiations with the United States in order to politically undermine Trump prior to the elections, anticipating a resumption of military conflict regardless of negotiations. Saeed Leylaz, an analyst, remarked that the delay was a lawful strategy designed to influence domestic politics within the United States.

Federal elections

Senate elections

35 seats in the United States Senate will be up for election, including all 33 Class 2 seats. Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the 2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats. Two Democratic-held seats, Georgia and Michigan, are in states won by Donald Trump in the previous presidential election, while Maine is the only Republican-held seat in a state won by Kamala Harris.

Special elections

Two special elections will be held to fill the unexpired terms of senators who vacated their seats during the 119th Congress:

House of Representatives elections

All 435 voting seats in the United States House of Representatives will be up for election. Additionally, elections will be held to select the non-voting delegate for the District of Columbia and the non-voting delegates from 4 of the 5 U.S. territories, excluding Puerto Rico due to its non-voting delegate serving a 4-year term. There are 16 Democratic incumbents in districts Donald Trump won, while only 8 Republican incumbents are in seats won by Harris.

The House map features a number of new congressional maps: Ohio and Utah will have new, court-mandated congressional districts this cycle; Missouri, North Carolina, and Texas redrew their maps mid-cycle; and the district map was changed in California following the passage of Prop 50.

In Missouri, the legality of a Republican-backed congressional map remained disputed in September 2026. On September 8, Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh declined to intervene in an emergency appeal seeking to allow the new map to be used in the November election. Hours later, U.S. District Judge Stephen Clark issued a temporary order requiring Missouri to use the Republican-backed map, conflicting with Missouri Supreme Court ruling that had blocked its use and ordered a referendum on the map. The competing rulings left the state's congressional districts unresolved ahead of the general election. However, on September 10, the U.S. Supreme Court stayed Judge Clark's order whilst a federal lawsuit filed by Republican nominees Bob Onder and Rick Brattin for the 3rd and 5th districts respectively, played out. The United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit then fast-tracked the case for a hearing on September 17 and, ruling on the merits, affirmed the lower courts order on September 21, remanding the case back to the District Court for entry of a permanent injunction but stayed their ruling for a week pending an appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court. On September 25, the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously held that state law rules in the case and granted an emergency stay of the Eighth Circuit's order and Judge Clark's injunction, leaving the 2022 maps in place for the 2026 elections. The court also faulted the District Court and the Eighth Circuit for what it deemed as having "incorrectly applied" the Purcell Principle and further held that the Supreme Court of Missouri was not at fault for "upsetting the status quo".

Special elections

Six special elections to the House of Representatives were held in 2026.

Generic congressional ballot aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Republicans Democrats Other/
Undecided
Margin
Decision Desk HQ January 9, 2025 – October 13, 2026 October 18, 2026 42.4% 50.2% 7.4% Democrats +7.8%
FiftyPlusOne January 9, 2025 – October 13, 2026 October 18, 2026 43.2% 51.7% 5.1% Democrats +8.5%
NBC News January 9, 2025 – October 13, 2026 October 18, 2026 43.0% 51.0% 6.0% Democrats +8.0%
RealClearPolitics September 24 – October 13, 2026 October 18, 2026 42.6% 50.8% 6.6% Democrats +8.2%
Silver Bulletin January 9, 2025 – October 13, 2026 October 18, 2026 41.1% 50.1% 8.8% Democrats +9.0%
Average October 18, 2026 42.5% 50.8% 6.7% Democrats +8.3%

State elections

Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
     Term-limited Democrat      Term-limited or retiring Republican
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Attorney general elections
     Term-limited Democrat      Term-limited or retiring Republican
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Secretary of state elections
     Term-limited or retiring Democrat      Republican term-limited, retiring, or lost renomination
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Treasurer elections
     Term-limited or retiring Democrat      Republican term-limited or lost renomination
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Auditor elections
     Retiring Democrat      Term-limited Republican
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election

Gubernatorial elections

36 states and three territories will be holding regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections. The governors of 15 states and two territories are term-limited. Prior to the 2026 gubernatorial elections, Republicans control 26 of the 50 state governorships, and each party holds 18 state governorships up for election. Republicans have held a majority of the state governorships since the 2010 elections.

Lieutenant gubernatorial elections

Nine states will be holding lieutenant gubernatorial elections independently from their gubernatorial elections.

Attorney general elections

30 states, two territories, and one federal district will be holding regularly scheduled attorney general elections.

Secretary of state elections

26 states will be holding regularly scheduled secretary of state elections.

Treasurer elections

27 states will be holding regularly scheduled treasurer elections.

Auditor elections

23 states will be holding regularly scheduled auditor elections.

Legislative elections

88 state legislative chambers and 5 territorial chambers will be holding regularly scheduled elections. Republicans have held a majority of the state legislative chambers and seats since the 2010 elections. Prior to the regularly-scheduled 2026 state legislative elections, Republicans hold 4044 state legislative seats, while Democrats hold 3227 state legislative seats.

State judicial elections

Elections are scheduled to be held in 2026, in various states across the country, including supreme courts and appellate courts.

Ballot measures

100 ballot measures in 37 states will be held in the November election.

Local elections

Local elections will be held in the United States throughout 2026 to elect officers of municipal and county governments. At least 22 mayorships in the country's top 100 most populous cities will be up for election, and many more will hold elections for local ballot measures, city council, and numerous other municipal offices. Many of these races will coincide with the 2026 midterm elections.

Municipal mayoral elections

A number of major cities will hold mayoral elections in 2026.

Incumbents re-elected

Incumbents defeated

Open seats won

  • Boca Raton, Florida: Three-term incumbent Republican Scott Singer was ineligible for re-election due to term limits. Democrat Andy Thomson defeated Republicans Fran Nachlas and Mike Liebelson. Democratic gain
  • Cataño, Puerto Rico (special): Incumbent Julio Alicea Vassallo died of cancer. New Progressive Hiram Torres Montalvo defeated fellow New Progressive Bethzaida Rodríguez Torres. New Progressive hold
  • Chandler, Arizona: Two-term incumbent Kevin Hartke was term-limited and ineligible to run. Democrat Matt Orlando defeated Republican Jeff Weninger. Democratic gain
  • Fargo, North Dakota: Two-term incumbent Tim Mahoney was term-limited and ineligible to run. Democrat Josh Boschee was elected. Democratic hold
  • Independence, Missouri: One-term incumbent Rory Rowland decided not to run for re-election. Kevin King defeated Bridget McCandless.
  • Irving, Texas: Three-term incumbent Rick Stopfer was term-limited and ineligible to run. Republican Albert C. Zapanta defeated Zhanae Jackson and Olivia Novelo Abreu. Republican hold
  • Leander, Texas: Incumbent Republican Christine DeLisle resigned 1 year and 5 months into her second term. Democrat Na'Cole Thompson defeated Mike Sanders and Kathryn Pantalion-Parker. Democratic gain
  • Montpelier, Vermont: Two-term incumbent Democrat John McCullough retired. Marc Gwinn won unopposed.
  • Pearland, Texas: One-term incumbent Republican Kevin Cole decided not to run for re-election. Democrat Quentin Wiltz defeated Republican Tony Carbone. Democratic gain
  • Sioux Falls, South Dakota: Two-term incumbent Paul TenHaken was term-limited and ineligible to run. Republican Christine Erickson defeated Democrat Jamie Smith. Republican hold
  • Waukesha, Wisconsin: Three-term incumbent Independent Shawn Reilly decided not to run for re-election. Democrat Alicia Halvensleben defeated Republican Scott Allen. Democratic gain

Incumbents running for re-election

Ineligible or retiring incumbents

County elections

Defeated incumbents

Open seats won

Eligible incumbents

Ineligible or retiring incumbents

Table of state, territorial, and federal results

This table shows the partisan results of congressional, gubernatorial, and state legislative races held in each state and territory in 2026. Note that not all states and territories hold gubernatorial, state legislative, and Senate elections in 2026, and some seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will be vacant at the time of the regularly-scheduled 2026 elections. The five territories and Washington, D.C. do not elect members of the Senate; instead, they each elect one non-voting member of the House. Nebraska's unicameral legislature and the governorship and the legislature of American Samoa are elected on a non-partisan basis, and political party affiliation is not listed.

State/Territory 2026
PVI
Before 2026 elections After 2026 elections
Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House
Alabama R+15 Rep Rep Rep Rep 5–2 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Alaska R+6 Rep Coalition Rep Rep 1–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Arizona R+2 Dem Rep Dem Rep 6–3 TBD TBD Dem TBD
Arkansas R+15 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
California D+12 Dem Dem Dem Dem 43–8–1 TBD TBD Dem TBD
Colorado D+6 Dem Dem Dem Split 4–4 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Connecticut D+8 Dem Dem Dem Dem 5–0 TBD TBD Dem TBD
Delaware D+8 Dem Dem Dem Dem 1–0 Dem TBD TBD TBD
Florida R+5 Rep Rep Rep Rep 20–7 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Georgia R+1 Rep Rep Dem Rep 9–5 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Hawaii D+13 Dem Dem Dem Dem 2–0 TBD TBD Dem TBD
Idaho R+18 Rep Rep Rep Rep 2–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Illinois D+6 Dem Dem Dem Dem 14–3 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Indiana R+9 Rep Rep Rep Rep 7–2 Rep TBD Rep TBD
Iowa R+6 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Kansas R+8 Dem Rep Rep Rep 3–1 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Kentucky R+15 Dem Rep Rep Rep 5–1 Dem TBD TBD TBD
Louisiana R+11 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–2 Rep Rep TBD TBD
Maine D+4 Dem Dem Split R/I Dem 2–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Maryland D+15 Dem Dem Dem Dem 7–1 TBD TBD Dem TBD
Massachusetts D+14 Dem Dem Dem Dem 9–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Michigan EVEN Dem Split Dem Rep 7–6 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Minnesota D+3 Dem Split Dem Split 4–4 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Mississippi R+11 Rep Rep Rep Rep 3–1 Rep Rep TBD TBD
Missouri R+9 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–2 Rep TBD Rep TBD
Montana R+10 Rep Rep Rep Rep 2–0 Rep TBD TBD TBD
Nebraska R+10 Rep NP Rep Rep 3–0 TBD NP TBD TBD
Nevada R+1 Rep Dem Dem Dem 3–1 TBD TBD Dem TBD
New Hampshire D+2 Rep Rep Dem Dem 2–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
New Jersey D+4 Dem Dem Dem Dem 9–3 Dem Dem TBD TBD
New Mexico D+4 Dem Dem Dem Dem 3–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
New York D+8 Dem Dem Dem Dem 19–7 TBD TBD Dem TBD
North Carolina R+1 Dem Rep Rep Rep 10–4 Dem TBD TBD TBD
North Dakota R+18 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0 Rep TBD Rep TBD
Ohio R+5 Rep Rep Rep Rep 10–5 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Oklahoma R+17 Rep Rep Rep Rep 5–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Oregon D+8 Dem Dem Dem Dem 5–1 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Pennsylvania R+1 Dem Split Split Rep 10–7 TBD TBD Split TBD
Rhode Island D+8 Dem Dem Dem Dem 2–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
South Carolina R+8 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–1 TBD TBD TBD TBD
South Dakota R+15 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Tennessee R+14 Rep Rep Rep Rep 8–1 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Texas R+6 Rep Rep Rep Rep 24–13 TBD TBD TBD TBD
Utah R+11 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0 Rep TBD Rep TBD
Vermont D+17 Rep Dem Split D/I Dem 1–0 TBD TBD Split D/I TBD
Virginia D+3 Dem Dem Dem Dem 6–5 Dem Dem TBD TBD
Washington D+10 Dem Dem Dem Dem 8–2 Dem TBD Dem TBD
West Virginia R+21 Rep Rep Rep Rep 2–0 Rep TBD TBD TBD
Wisconsin EVEN Dem Rep Split Rep 6–2 TBD TBD Split TBD
Wyoming R+23 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0 TBD TBD TBD TBD
United States EVEN Rep Rep Rep Rep TBD TBD TBD TBD
Washington, D.C. D+44 Dem Dem N/a Dem TBD TBD N/a TBD
American Samoa N/a NP NP Rep NP NP TBD
Guam N/a Dem Rep Rep TBD TBD TBD
N. Mariana Islands N/a Ind Coalition Rep TBD TBD TBD
Puerto Rico N/a PNP/R PNP PDP/D PNP/R PNP PDP/D
U.S. Virgin Islands N/a Dem Dem Dem TBD TBD TBD
State/Territory 2026
PVI
Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House
Before 2026 elections After 2026 elections

Polling

2025–2026

2024–2025

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Democratic
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Lead
The Economist/YouGov December 26–29, 2025 1,417 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 38% 20% 4%
1,546 (A) 36% 31% 33% 5%
Big Data Poll (R) December 26–28, 2025 3,412 (LV) ± 1.9% 48% 44% 8% 4%
45% 42% 13% 3%
Morning Consult December 15–21, 2025 20,240 (RV) – 45% 42% 13%
The Economist/YouGov December 20–22, 2025 1,424 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 40% 17%
1,591 (A) 38% 34% 28% 4%
Quantus Insights (R) December 15–17, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 41% 16% 2%
AtlasIntel December 15–19, 2025 2,315 (A) ± 2.0% 54% 38% 7% 16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) December 12–19, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 46% 45% 9% 1%
Fabrizio Ward (R) December 15–17, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 38% 17% 7%
Emerson College December 14–15, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 42% 14% 2%
Reuters/Ipsos December 12–15, 2025 775 (RV) – 40% 36% 24% 4%
The Economist/YouGov December 12–15, 2025 1,451 (RV) ± 3.2% 43% 39% 18% 4%
1,630 (A) 37% 33% 30%
Morning Consult December 12–15, 2025 2,201 (RV) – 45% 44% 11% 1%
Echelon Insights December 11–15, 2025 1,011 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 45% 7% 3%
Quinnipiac University December 11–15, 2025 1,035 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 43% 10% 4%
Big Data Poll (R) December 10–12, 2025 3,004 (RV) ± 1.8% 47% 43% 10%
44% 41% 15% 3%
The Argument/Verasight December 5–11, 2025 – (LV) – 52% 48% – 4%
1,521 (RV) ± 2.7% 50% 49% – 1%
44% 42% 14% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) December 4–11, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 7% 5%
GrayHouse (R) December 6–8, 2025 2,058 (RV) ± 2.2% 45% 41% 14% 4%
The Economist/YouGov December 5–8, 2025 1,379 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 37% 21% 6%
1,529 (A) 37% 32% 31% 5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
December 4–8, 2025 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4% 4%
Reuters/Ipsos December 3–8, 2025 3,521 (RV) ± 2.0% 40% 39% 21% 1%
Cygnal (R) December 5–7, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 44% 8% 4%
Morning Consult December 5–7, 2025 2,201 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
Quantus Insights (R) December 4–5, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 16% 4%
RMG Research December 1–4, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 45% 14% 4%
44% 48% 8%
Big Data Poll (R) November 28 – December 1, 2025 2,008 (RV) ± 2.1% 44% 42% 20% 2%
41% 39% 20%
The Economist/YouGov November 28 – December 1, 2025 1,452 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 39% 16% 6%
1,623 (A) 39% 33% 28%
Morning Consult November 26–30, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 45% 41% 14% 4%
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D) November 19–26, 2025 2,000 (RV) – 48% 42% 10% 6%
The Bullfinch Group November 21–25, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 35% 24%
1,200 (A) ± 2.8% 37% 32% 31% 5%
The Economist/YouGov November 21–24, 2025 1,511 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 32% 29% 7%
1,674 (A) 44% 39% 17% 5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) November 17–24, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 45% 44% 11% 1%
Morning Consult November 21–23, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 45% 43% 13% 2%
Rasmussen Reports (R) November 18–23, 2025 2,410 (LV) ± 2.1% 45% 42% 13% 3%
J.L. Partners (R) November 19–20, 2025 797 (LV) – 50% 46% 4% 4%
The Economist/YouGov November 15–17, 2025 1,380 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 40% 17% 3%
Echelon Insights November 13–17, 2025 1,051 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 45% 6% 4%
The Argument/Verasight November 10–17, 2025 – (LV) – 54% 46% – 8%
1,508 (RV) ± 2.6% 53% 47% – 6%
46% 42% 12% 4%
Morning Consult November 14–16, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 46% 44% 10% 2%
High Point University November 10–14, 2025 1,004 (A) ± 3.2% 46% 36% 13% 10%
Marist University November 10–13, 2025 1,291 (RV) ± 3.1% 55% 41% 4% 14%
Quantus Insights (R) November 11–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 39% 17% 5%
Reuters/Ipsos November 7–12, 2025 938 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 40% 19% 1%
Marquette University Law School November 5–12, 2025 903 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 44% 7% 5%
1,052 (A) ± 3.3% 46% 41% 13%
The Economist/YouGov November 7–10, 2025 1,499 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% 15% 7%
Morning Consult November 7–9, 2025 2,201 (RV) – 48% 43% 9% 5%
Cygnal (R) November 5–6, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 50% 44% 6% 6%
Emerson College November 3–4, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 40% 16% 4%
The Economist/YouGov October 31 – November 3, 2025 1,470 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 41% 15% 3%
RMG Research October 27–30, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 42% 43% 15% 1%
44% 46% 10% 2%
CNN/SSRS October 27–30, 2025 945 (RV) ± 3.6% 47% 42% 11% 5%
NewsNation/DDHQ October 27–29, 2025 1,159 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 47% 7% Tie
1,609 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 44% 11% 1%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight October 24–29, 2025 1,352 (LV) ± 2.7% 49% 41% 10% 8%
1,567 (A) ± 2.6% 46% 39% 15% 7%
Big Data Poll (R) October 26–28, 2025 2,984 (RV) ± 1.8% 43% 41% 16% 2%
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos October 24–28, 2025 2,203 (RV) ± 2.2% 46% 44% 10%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
October 24–28, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 42% 8% 8%
The Economist/YouGov October 24–27, 2025 1,472 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 40% 17% 3%
Yahoo News/YouGov October 23–27, 2025 1,197 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 40% 15% 5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) October 21–27, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 44% 46% 10% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) October 16–23, 2025 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 46% 7% 1%
The Economist/YouGov October 17–20, 2025 1,447 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 40% 15% 5%
Quinnipiac University October 17–20, 2025 1,327 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 41% 9% 9%
UMass Lowell/YouGov October 16–20, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.5% 38% 35% 27% 3%
Echelon Insights October 16–20, 2025 1,010 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6% 2%
Morning Consult October 17–19, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
Emerson College October 13–14, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 43% 13% 1%
The Argument/Verasight October 10–16, 2025 1,530 (RV) – 51% 49% – 2%
The Economist/YouGov October 10–13, 2025 1,466 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 40% 17% 3%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
October 8–12, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 48% 47% 5% 1%
YouGov Blue (D) October 7–10, 2025 517 (RV) – 48% 45% 7% 3%
Cygnal (R) October 7–8, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 45% 7%
Quantus Insights (R) October 6–8, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 43% 15% 1%
The Economist/YouGov October 4–6, 2025 1,486 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 39% 17% 5%
Noble Predictive Insights/
The Center Square
October 2–6, 2025 2,565 (RV) ± 2.0% 45% 43% 12% 2%
Morning Consult October 3–5, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
The Economist/YouGov September 26–29, 2025 1,517 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 41% 15%
Yahoo News/YouGov September 25–29, 2025 1,126 (RV) ± 3.2% 44% 40% 16% 4%
New York Times/Siena College September 22–27, 2025 1,313 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 45% 8% 2%
RMG Research September 22–24, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 41% 43% 16% 2%
45% 46% 9% 1%
The Economist/YouGov September 19–22, 2025 1,392 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 42% 13% 3%
Echelon Insights September 18–22, 2025 1,071 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 46% 7% 1%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) September 17–22, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 41% 47% 12% 6%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight September 15–19, 2025 1,268 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 45% 5% 5%
1,500 (A) ± 2.6% 47% 42% 11%
AtlasIntel September 12–16, 2025 1,066 (A) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 4% 8%
Normington Petts (D)/Third Way (D) September 11–16, 2025 800 (V) – 51% 49% – 2%
The Economist/YouGov September 12–15, 2025 1,418 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 41% 16%
National Association of Independent Pollsters September 6–13, 2025 2,071 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 46% 7% 1%
i360 September 10–12, 2025 577 (RV) ± 4.1% 35% 32% 33% 5%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) September 4–11, 2025 1,001 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 44% 6% 6%
The Economist/YouGov September 5–8, 2025 1,482 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 4% 2%
Public Religion Research Institute August 15 – September 8, 2025 5,543 (A) ± 1.8% 33% 30% 36% 3%
Cygnal (R) September 2–3, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 45% 7%
Yahoo News/YouGov August 29 – September 2, 2025 1,136 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 16% 4%
The Economist/YouGov August 29 – September 2, 2025 1,548 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 39% 18%
Survey 160 August 26 – September 1, 2025 – (RV) ± 5.8% 46% 39% 15% 7%
Morning Consult August 29–31, 2025 2,202 (RV) – 45% 41% 14% 4%
Emerson College August 25–26, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 43% 14% Tie
McLaughlin & Associates (R) August 21–26, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 47% 8% 2%
The Economist/YouGov August 22–25, 2025 1,374 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 41% 16% 2%
Reuters/Ipsos August 22–24, 2025 1,022 (A) ± 3.2% 38% 34% 28%
SoCal Strategies (R) August 19, 2025 700 (A) – 42% 37% 21% 5%
RMG Research August 18–21, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 44% 44% 12% Tie
Strength In Numbers/Verasight August 18–21, 2025 1,500 (A) ± 2.6% 49% 41% 10% 8%
Echelon Insights August 14–18, 2025 1,057 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 46% 7% 1%
The Argument/Verasight August 18–21, 2025 1,562 (RV) ± 2.6% 45% 42% 13% 3%
51% 49% – 2%
The Economist/YouGov August 15–18, 2025 1,404 (RV) ± 3.2% 44% 39% 17% 5%
Quantus Insights (R) August 11–13, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 42% 13% 3%
The Economist/YouGov August 9–11, 2025 1,473 (RV) ± 3.1% 42% 40% 18% 2%
The Economist/YouGov August 1–4, 2025 1,528 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 38% 18% 6%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
July 29 – August 3, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 7% 5%
GrayHouse (R) July 27–29, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.7% 47% 44% 9% 3%
Yahoo News/YouGov July 24–28, 2025 1,167 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% 15% 7%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) July 21–24, 2025 2,000 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
1,633 (LV) 48% 44% 8% 4%
Fabrizio (R)/Impact Research (D) July 16–20, 2025 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 43% 10% 3%
Emerson College July 21–22, 2025 1,400 (LV) ± 2.5% 44% 42% 14% 2%
AtlasIntel July 13–18, 2025 1,935 (A) ± 2.0% 51% 43% 6% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R) July 13–17, 2025 2,288 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 42% 12% 4%
RMG Research July 14–16, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 45% 49% 6% 4%
Big Data Poll (R) July 12–14, 2025 3,022 (RV) ± 1.8% 42% 41% 17% 1%
Echelon Insights July 10–14, 2025 1,084 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 48% 5% 1%
45% 41% 14% 4%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) July 9–14, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 2.5% 42% 47% 11% 5%
A2 Insights July 7–10, 2025 862 (RV) – 48% 44% 8% 4%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight July 1–3, 2025 1,500 (A) ± 2.7% 47% 43% 10%
Cygnal (R) July 1–2, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 46% 7% 1%
Emerson College June 24–25, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 40% 17% 3%
American Pulse Research & Polling (R) June 23–25, 2025 633 (RV) – 47% 42% 11% 5%
Cygnal (R) June 19–21, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 6% 2%
RMG Research June 18–19, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 52% 4% 8%
Echelon Insights June 12–16, 2025 982 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 48% 5% 1%
co/efficient (R) June 12–16, 2025 1,035 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 46% 8% Tie
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) June 5–14, 2025 1,000 (V) ± 3.1% 50% 45% 5% 5%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight June 6–12, 2025 1,500 (A) ± 2.6% 45% 37% 18% 8%
Quantus Insights (R) June 9–11, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 43% 14% Tie
Quantus Insights (R) June 1–4, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 45% 9% 1%
AtlasIntel May 21–27, 2025 3,469 (A) ± 2.0% 51% 42% 7% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) May 21–26, 2025 1,000 (LV) – 43% 47% 10% 4%
RMG Research May 20–21, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 45% 4% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R) May 15–19, 2025 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 42% 16% Tie
Echelon Insights May 8–12, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 48% 5% 1%
co/efficient (R) May 7–9, 2025 1,462 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 42% 10% 3%
Quantus Insights (R) May 5–7, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 10% Tie
Big Data Poll (R) May 3–5, 2025 3,128 (RV) ± 1.8% 40% 42% 18% 2%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight May 1–6, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 47% 41% 12% 6%
NewsNation/DDHQ April 23–27, 2025 1,448 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 40% 15% 5%
New York Times/Siena College April 21–24, 2025 913 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 44% 9% 3%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)
April 18–21, 2025 1,104 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 42% 9% 7%
Noble Predictive Insights/
The Center Square
April 15–18, 2025 2,500 (LV) ± 2.0% 45% 42% 13% 3%
RMG Research April 16, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 45% 5% 5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
April 9–13, 2025 – (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
RealClear Opinion Research April 10–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 39% 21% 1%
Cygnal (R) April 1–3, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 47% 5%
Yale Youth Poll April 1–3, 2025 4,100 (RV) ± 1.9% 43% 42% 15%
Quantus Insights (R) March 25–27, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 46% 9% 1%
Echelon Insights March 10–13, 2025 1,007 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 7%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
March 7–11, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 47% 5% 1%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) March 3–9, 2025 1,036 (V) ± 1.7% 46% 44% 10% 2%
Cygnal (R) March 3–5, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 46% 7% 1%
Emerson College March 2–3, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 41% 15% 3%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) February 25 – March 2, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 46% 10% 2%
RMG Research February 20–21, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 48% 6%
co/efficient (R) February 15–17, 2025 2,063 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 46% 10%
Echelon Insights February 10–13, 2025 1,010 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 47% 7% 1%
Quantus Insights (R) February 10–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8% 4%
Morning Consult February 3–9, 2025 19,675 (RV) – 43% 45% 12% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) January 31 – February 6, 2025 1,102 (V) ± 1.5% 45% 44% 11% 1%
Cygnal (R) February 4–5, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 47% 7% 1%
Morning Consult January 27 – February 2, 2025 19,675 (RV) – 43% 44% 13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D)
January 27 – February 1, 2025 3,000 (RV) ± 1.8% 43% 43% 14% Tie
Morning Consult January 20–26, 2025 19,675 (RV) – 42% 45% 13% 3%
Quantus Insights (R) January 22–23, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 48% 7%
RMG Research January 15–16, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 51% 5% 7%
Cygnal (R) January 9–12, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 45% 47% 8% 2%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) December 11–16, 2024 1,000 (LV) – 42% 47% 11% 5%
Cygnal (R) December 9–11, 2024 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 45% 48% 7% 3%

Elections by state or territory

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Oklahoma law requires appointees to affirm they will not seek a full term.
  2. ↑ As a result of redistricting.
  3. ↑ As a result of death, resignation, or expulsion.
  4. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ↑ Both of Alaska's legislative chambers are led by a bipartisan coalition.
  6. ↑ One of Maine's senators, Susan Collins, is a Republican. The other senator from Maine, Angus King, is an independent who has caucused with Democrats since taking office in 2013.
  7. 1 2 The unicameral Nebraska Legislature is officially nonpartisan.
  8. 1 2 One of Vermont's senators, Peter Welch, is a Democrat. The other senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders, was elected as an independent and has caucused with Democrats since taking office in 2007.
  9. 1 2 The federal district does not have a governor or state legislature but elects the mayor of Washington, D.C., as well as the Council of the District of Columbia.
  10. 1 2 Although elections for governor of American Samoa are non-partisan, Governor Pula Nikolao Pula affiliates with the Republican Party.
  11. 1 2 Puerto Rico's Jenniffer González is a member of the New Progressive Party, but affiliates with the Republican Party at the national level.
  12. 1 2 Puerto Rico's Pablo Hernández Rivera is a member of the Popular Democratic Party, but affiliates with the Democratic Party at the national level.
  13. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
  14. ↑ "Would not vote" with 3%
  15. ↑ "I will not vote" with 5%; "Other" with 2%
  16. ↑ "Other" with 4%
  17. ↑ Strict likely voters
  18. ↑ "Other" with 2%; "I will not vote" with 1%
  19. ↑ Loose likely voters
  20. ↑ "Other" with 2%; "I will not vote" with 1%
  21. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 2%
  22. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 16%; "Candidate from another political party" with 2%; "Skipped" with 1%
  23. ↑ "Another candidate" with 5%
  24. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  25. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Some other candidate" with 4%
  26. ↑ "An independent or third-party candidate" with 6%
  27. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Other" with 3%
  28. ↑ "I will not vote" with 5%; "Other" with 3%
  29. ↑ "Would not vote" with 5%; "Another party's candidate" with 4%
  30. ↑ "Would not vote" with 10%; "Another party's candidate" with 7%
  31. 1 2 3 4 5 "Other" with 2%
  32. 1 2 "Other" and "I would not vote" with 3%
  33. ↑ "Neither/another party" with 6%; "I wouldn't vote" with 5%
  34. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 5%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  35. 1 2 3 4 "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  36. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 2%
  37. ↑ "Other party" with 4%
  38. ↑ "Other party" with 5%
  39. ↑ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%; "No Response" with 1%
  40. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 7%
  41. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 8%
  42. ↑ "Independent/another candidate" with 10%; "Do not plan to vote" with 8%
  43. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 2%
  44. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  45. 1 2 "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 3%
  46. ↑ "I would not vote" with 5%
  47. ↑ "Would not vote" with 19%; "Vote another candidate" with 1%
  48. 1 2 "Neither" with 4%
  49. ↑ "Neither" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  50. ↑ "Neither" with 8%; "Would not vote" with 5%
  51. 1 2 3 "Other" with 4%
  52. 1 2 3 "I would not vote" with 5%; "Other" with 4%
  53. 1 2 "I would not vote" with 9%; "Other" with 4%
  54. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 3%; "Candidate from another political party" with 2%
  55. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 13%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%
  56. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 7%
  57. ↑ "An Independent Candidate" with 10%
  58. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 "I would not vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  59. 1 2 3 4 "I would not vote" with 16%; "Other" with 1%
  60. ↑ "Candidate from another political party" with 5%; "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%
  61. 1 2 "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  62. 1 2 "Independent Candidate" with 10%
  63. ↑ "Another party's candidate" with 3%; "Rather not say" with 3%
  64. 1 2 "Would not vote" with 4%
  65. ↑ "I would not vote" and "Other" with 4%
  66. ↑ "I would not vote" with 7%; "Other" with 4%
  67. 1 2 3 "An independent or third-party candidate" with 6%
  68. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 "I would not vote" & "Other" with 2%
  69. 1 2 3 "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 2%
  70. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%
  71. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  72. 1 2 3 4 5 "Someone else / third party" with 10%
  73. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Someone else / third party" with 7%
  74. 1 2 3 "Someone else / third party" with 13%
  75. 1 2 3 4 "Someone else / third party" with 8%
  76. ↑ "Neither" with 8%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  77. 1 2 "Neither" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 5%
  78. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" and "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  79. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 13%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  80. 1 2 "Doesn't matter either way" with 7%
  81. 1 2 3 "I would not vote" with 16%; "Other" with 2%
  82. ↑ "I would not vote" with 7%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  83. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Would not vote" with 3%
  84. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 2%
  85. ↑ "Not sure" with 14%; "Another/Lean to another candidate" with 5%
  86. ↑ "Independent/Other/Minor party" with 15%; "Not sure/Will not vote" with 7%
  87. ↑ "Other" with 4%; "I wouldn't vote" with 3%
  88. 1 2 3 "Some other candidate" with 5%
  89. 1 2 "Other" with 5%
  90. ↑ "I would not vote" with 10%; "Other" with 4%
  91. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 9%
  92. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 5%
  93. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 14%
  94. ↑ "Neither" with 11; "Would not vote" with 5%
  95. 1 2 3 4 "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 1%
  96. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 6%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  97. 1 2 3 "Someone else" with 3%
  98. ↑ "Third party / Independent" with 9%
  99. ↑ "Third party / Independent" with 8%
  100. ↑ "I would not vote" with 17%; "Other" with 1%
  101. 1 2 "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  102. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 8%
  103. 1 2 "Independent candidate" with 11%
  104. 1 2 3 4 5 "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 2%
  105. 1 2 3 4 5 "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 1%
  106. 1 2 "Neither" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  107. ↑ "Will not vote" with 5%; "Third party candidate" with 2%
  108. ↑ "Would not vote" with 7%
  109. ↑ "I would not vote" with 5%
  110. 1 2 3 4 5 "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 2%
  111. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 5%; "Skipped" with 1%
  112. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 "Would not vote" with 2%
  113. 1 2 3 "Other" with 1%
  114. ↑ "I would not vote" with 5%; "Other" with 3%
  115. ↑ "I would not vote" with 11%; "Other" with 4%
  116. 1 2 3 4 "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 2%
  117. ↑ "Neither" with 11%; "Do not plan to vote" with 3%
  118. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 4%"
  119. 1 2 3 4 5 "Someone else / third party" with 6%
  120. ↑ "Would not vote" with 6%
  121. 1 2 "I would not vote" with 12%; "Other" with 2%
  122. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Skipped" with 1%
  123. ↑ "Undecided" with 14%; "Neither/another party" with 5%; "I wouldn't vote" with 4%
  124. ↑ "Other party" 4%
  125. ↑ "Neither" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  126. ↑ "Neither" with 10%; "Would not vote" with 5%
  127. ↑ "I would not vote" with 15%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  128. ↑ "Neither" with 8%; "Do not plan to vote" with 2%
  129. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 12%
  130. ↑ "Depends" with 12%; "Neither" with 2%
  131. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 12%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  132. ↑ "Other party" with 3%
  133. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  134. 1 2 "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 1%
  135. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 5%
  136. ↑ "I would not vote" and "Another candidate" with 5%
  137. ↑ "I would not vote" with 11%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  138. ↑ "Third party / Independent" with 2%
  139. ↑ "Third party / Independent" with 3%
  140. ↑ "Doesn't matter either way" with 8%, "Not sure" with 7%
  141. ↑ "Third party candidate" and "Would not vote" with 3%
  142. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  143. ↑ "I wouldn't vote" with 9%; "Other" with 5%
  144. ↑ "Would not vote" with 8%
  145. ↑ "Would not vote" with 18%
  146. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%
  147. 1 2 "Third party/other" with 3%
  148. ↑ "Another candidate" with 7%
  149. ↑ "Another candidate" and "I would not vote" with 6%
  150. ↑ "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 6%
  151. ↑ "Another party" with 4%
  152. ↑ "Third party" with 5%
  153. ↑ "Third party" with 2%
  154. ↑ "Neither" with 3%
  155. ↑ "Neither" with 10%; "Would not vote" with 7%
  156. 1 2 "I would not vote" & "Other" with 3%
  157. ↑ "I would not vote" with 11%; "Other" with 2%
  158. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 4%
  159. ↑ "Other candidate" with 2%
  160. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  161. ↑ "Other / third-party / Independent" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 3%
  162. ↑ "Other / third-party / Independent" with 10%; "I would not vote" with 9%
  163. 1 2 3 "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  164. 1 2 "Would not vote" with 1%
  165. ↑ "Other/third-party/Independent" and "I would not vote" with 7%
  166. ↑ "I would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party/Independent" with 6%
  167. ↑ "Another Party" with 7%
  168. ↑ "Neither" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  169. ↑ "Neither" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  170. ↑ "Other" with 3%; "I would not vote" with 2%
  171. ↑ "Do not plan to vote" with 2%
  172. ↑ "Third-party candidate" with 7%
  173. ↑ "Third-party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  174. ↑ "Would not vote" with 9%
  175. ↑ "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 2%
  176. ↑ "I would not vote" with 1%
  177. ↑ The association's members are Big Data Poll, InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen Reports, & the Trafalgar Group.
  178. ↑ "Other candidate" with 10%
  179. ↑ "Would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party candidate" with 4%
  180. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 8%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  181. ↑ "Refused" with 1%
  182. ↑ America Party candidate with 5%
  183. ↑ "Or Another Third Party Candidate" with 2%
  184. ↑ "A third-party candidate" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Poll sponsored by Napolitan News Service
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll conducted for Fox News
  3. ↑ Poll conducted for NBC News Decision Desk
  4. ↑ Poll conducted for NewsNation and Decision Desk HQ
  5. ↑ Poll conducted for the Financial Times
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  7. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for The Wall Street Journal
  8. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by NPR and PBS News
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by the United America Institute
  10. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for NBC News
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by Deseret News & the Hinckley Institute of Politics
  12. ↑ Poll commissioned by CoinBase
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll conducted for CNBC
  14. 1 2 Poll conducted for Scripps News
  15. ↑ Poll sponsored by NBC News and More Perfect
  16. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Winning the Issues
  17. ↑ Poll commissioned by UNITE HERE
  18. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Conservative Energy Network
  19. ↑ Poll commissioned by CoinDesk
  20. ↑ Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  21. ↑ Poll commissioned by Gambling is Not Investing
  22. ↑ Poll sponsored by Third Way and UnidosUS
  23. ↑ Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project, which supports Republicans
  24. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by America One Policies, a Republican super PAC
  25. ↑ Poll sponsored by Campaign For A Family Friendly Economy PAC
  26. ↑ Poll conducted for 1776 Law Center
  27. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Progress Action Fund, which supports Democrats
  28. ↑ Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, a group that supports Republicans
  29. ↑ Poll conducted for The Daily Mail
  30. ↑ Poll sponsored by Americans for Prosperity, a libertarian conservative political advocacy group
  31. ↑ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics & On Point Politics, both of which support Republicans
  32. ↑ Poll sponsored by America's New Majority Project
  33. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  34. ↑ Poll conducted for the Paragon Health Institute
  35. ↑ Poll sponsored by AARP

References

  1. ↑ "2025 Oklahoma Statutes Title 51. Officers §51-10. Vacancies – Appointments – Special elections". Justia US Law. Retrieved April 17, 2026. Prior to an appointment pursuant to paragraph 1 of subsection C of this section, a person who is a prospective appointee shall submit to the Secretary of State an oath affirming that the person will not file as a candidate for the office when it next appears on the ballot. The Secretary of State shall prescribe the oath required by this paragraph, and any oath submitted shall be public record and published on the website of the Office of the Secretary of State.
  2. ↑ Goudreau, Claire (November 20, 2024). "The impact of inflation on the 2024 presidential election". Johns Hopkins University. Retrieved January 11, 2026.
  3. ↑ "Why inflation helped tip the election toward Trump, according to experts". ABC News. Retrieved January 29, 2026.
  4. ↑ "Joe Lenski Joins Henry Olsen's Podcast for a Closer Look at The Voter Poll by SSRS". SSRS. October 1, 2026. Retrieved October 8, 2026.
  5. ↑ Bowman, Karlyn (November 10, 2025). "Election Polls: Their Past, Present, and Future". American Enterprise Institute. Retrieved February 1, 2026.
  6. ↑ Reisman, Nick (November 5, 2025). "He tried to come back from exile. Now Andrew Cuomo's career is over for good". Politico. Retrieved September 10, 2026.
  7. ↑ Goldmacher, Shane (November 5, 2025). "Elections Show Trump's Edge on the Economy Slipping". The New York Times. Retrieved November 5, 2025.
  8. ↑ Freedland, Jonathan (September 4, 2026). "How much does Donald Trump care about winning the midterms? Apparently, not much at all". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved September 15, 2026.
  9. ↑ Sanders, Linley; Boak, Josh (November 5, 2025). "Tuesday's races were a quiet rebuke of Trump for many voters, AP Voter Poll finds". Associated Press.
  10. ↑ Boak, Josh; Thomson-DeVeaux, Amelia (November 6, 2024). "AP VoteCast: Voters who focused on the economy broke hard for Trump". Associated Press. Retrieved February 15, 2026.
  11. ↑ Langer, Gary (November 5, 2024). "Exit polls 2024: Deep economic discontent with Biden drove voters to Trump". ABC News. Retrieved February 15, 2026.
  12. ↑ Arnsdorf, Isaac; Allison, Natalie (February 15, 2026). "Trump claims victory on affordability as public anxieties persist". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 15, 2026.
  13. ↑ "What recent polls show about the challenges facing Trump this year". Associated Press. February 2, 2026.
  14. ↑ "AP VoteCast: Trump a dominant force on voters' minds". Associated Press. November 7, 2018.
  15. ↑ Dimock, Michael; Gramlich, John (January 29, 2021). "How America Changed During Donald Trump's Presidency". Pew Research Center.
  16. ↑ Langer, Gary; Filer, Christine; Sinozich, Sofi; De Jong, Allison (November 7, 2018). "Voters negative on Trump, most interested in health care, immigration: Key exit poll takeaways". ABC News.
  17. ↑ "Republicans gather in Dallas for two-day midterm convention billed as 'Trump-a-Palooza'". PBS News. September 9, 2026. Retrieved September 10, 2026.
  18. ↑ Kinnard, Meg (June 30, 2026). "Trump announces Republican midterm convention in Dallas in September". PBS. The Associated Press. Archived from the original on September 9, 2026. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
  19. ↑ Condon, George E. Jr. (September 2, 2026). "'Places for mischief': A brief history of midterm conventions". National Journal. Retrieved September 2, 2026.
  20. ↑ Peoples, Steve; Bedayn, Jesse; Cooper, Jonathan J. (September 20, 2026). "Rising gas prices frustrate voters. Trump says it's an 'inexpensive price to pay' for the Iran war". Associated Press. Retrieved September 25, 2026.
  21. ↑ Guskin, Emily (August 7, 2026). "Americans react to high gas prices, economic concerns: 'You have to make cuts somewhere'". ABC News. Retrieved August 11, 2026.
  22. ↑ O'Shea, James (April 19, 2026). "Crisis to Ceasefire: Iran and the Ballot Box". Eagle Intelligence Reports. Eagle Intel S.R.L. Retrieved April 19, 2026.
  23. ↑ Merica, Dan (September 22, 2026). "Republican candidates are breaking with Trump on Iran as midterms loom". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  24. ↑ Moore, Elena (September 25, 2026). "As election enters its final stretch, some Republicans are distancing from Trump". NPR. Retrieved September 25, 2026.
  25. ↑ Meyer, Theodoric (May 7, 2026). "Democrats see Senate control within reach — but some big hurdles remain". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  26. ↑ Balz, Dan (November 8, 2006). "Democrats Take House". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 19, 2026.
  27. ↑ Layne, Nathan; Layne, Nathan (September 21, 2026). "Two Republican Senate candidates call for swift end to Iran war, diverging from Trump". Reuters. Retrieved September 22, 2026.
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