Change bloc

The change bloc (Hebrew: גוש השינוי, romanized: Gush HaShinui), also called the anti-Netanyahu bloc, refers to an informal coalition of parties in Israeli politics opposed to the national camp. This group was particularly prominent during the 2018–2022 Israeli political crisis when this bloc competed with the national camp for government formation. The parties in the change bloc are ideologically diverse, which in the 36th government included the Arab religious Ra'am, the right-wing Yamina, the centrist Yesh Atid, and the left-wing Meretz.

History

Early discussions

Following the 2013 Israeli legislative election, there were discussions of potentially creating a "preventive bloc" that would exclude Likud Yisrael Beiteinu from government, with Labour chairwoman Shelly Yachimovich saying she had made contacts with the aim of forming a centre-left coalition. However, Yesh Atid leader Yair Lapid rejected this idea and instead announced that "we must work together" by forming the 33rd government with Netanyahu.

In the lead-up of the 2015 Israeli legislative election, Labour and Meretz signed a surplus-vote agreement. Labor then merged with Hatnua to form the Zionist Union invalidating the agreement. The Zionist Union indicated that it would sign an agreement with Yesh Atid if Meretz and the Joint List signed one in turn. This fell through when Balad threatened to leave the Joint List if it decided to sign an agreement with a Zionist party like Meretz. In the end, Zionist Union and Meretz signed a new agreement leaving Yesh Atid and Joint List without one.

2018–2022 political crisis

During the 2018–2022 Israeli political crisis, the change bloc competed with the national camp in order to form a majority government. Following the April 2019 Israeli legislative election, Blue and White became the largest party in this change bloc, but party leader Benny Gantz conceded as he was unable to form a governing coalition. As Netanyahu was also unable to form a government, a new election was called worsening the political crisis.

After the September 2019 Israeli legislative election, there was still no clear path to government formation, although Gantz strongly wanted to avoid a third election. Netanyahu similarly did not want a third election, and called for a broad unity government, although Gantz conditioned a unity government on excluding religious right-wing parties and having himself as prime minister. He also criticized Netanyahu for forcing the national camp remain as a single unit in any negotiations. Besides a unity government, Gantz also tried to consolidate the change bloc by meeting with Meretz and promised to include Yisrael Beiteinu in any coalition. Gantz was later given the mandate for government formation, but could not form a government and returned the mandate, leading to a third election.

Following the 2020 Israeli legislative election, the bloc again could not form a government and Gantz promised not to sit in coalition with Netanyahu. At the same time, the bloc could not rely on external support from the Joint List for a minority government due to internal opposition from some bloc members. Since the beginning of the political crisis, the change bloc was led by the Blue and White alliance, where Gantz was "the first candidate to pose a real threat to Netanyahu's rule in a decade". However, this alliance fractured as it became internally divided over whether to join in a unity government with Likud to address the worsening COVID-19 pandemic in Israel. Gantz's willingness to negotiate for the formation of the 35th government became a "setback for the center-left bloc".

The change bloc was revitalized following the 2021 Israeli legislative election when Yesh Atid leader Yair Lapid negotiated with other parties interested in unseating Netanyahu. These negotiations also included Yamina leader Naftali Bennett, as well as Ra'am leader Mansour Abbas. These efforts were complicated by the 2021 Israel–Palestine crisis, with Bennett unwilling to continue talks as part of the change bloc at first, but later reversing stance and resumed talks. Eventually, all eight negotiating parties signed coalition agreements, with the composition of the change bloc as: Yesh Atid, Blue and White, Yisrael Beiteinu, New Hope, Labor, Meretz, Yamina, and Ra'am.

Composition

April 2019 September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2026
Surplus-vote
agreements
Meretz and Labor Democratic Union and Labor-Gesher
Blue and White and Yisrael Beiteinu
Blue & White and Labor-Gesher-Meretz Yesh Atid and Yisrael Beiteinu
Blue & White and New Economic Party
Yamina and New Hope
Labor and Meretz
Labor and Meretz
National Unity Party and Yesh Atid
Together and Yisrael Beiteinu
Yashar and The Democrats
Recommendations For Benny Gantz: For Benny Gantz: For Benny Gantz: For Yair Lapid:

For Naftali Bennett:

Other:

For Yair Lapid: For Gadi Eisenkot:

Analysis

During the campaign season for the 2022 Israeli legislative election, an analysis from the Friedrich Naumann Foundation stated that the presence of the national camp and change bloc has led to Israel becoming a "two-bloc system" where "no party is independent of bloc affiliation" and that "the two blocs solidified" with very little shift between blocs. It argues that this bloc formation would lead to the "legitimization of all political actors" with campaigns focused on attacking the opposite bloc's most extreme members. There was also criticism that despite the bloc calling for change, there was very little change during the 36th government on addressing the Israeli–Palestinian conflict because of the ideological diversity of the coalition.

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ excluding Balad
  2. ↑ excluding Gesher
  3. ↑ New Hope announced its support for a rotation government between Bennett and Lapid instead.

References

  1. 1 2 Makovsky, David (2 April 2021). "Two Kingmakers Stand at the Center of Israel's Coalition Drama". The Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
  2. ↑ "What's in the coalition agreements Yesh Atid signed with 'change bloc' partners". The Times of Israel. 11 June 2021.
  3. ↑ "Anti-Netanyahu Bloc Dealt Blow as Bennett Drops Coalition Talks". Bloomberg News. 13 May 2021.
  4. ↑ "The new coalition government is the most diverse in Israel's history, and promises real change". European Consortium for Political Research. 25 August 2021.
  5. ↑ "'Change Bloc' Floating 1-year Rotation Agreement between Bennett and Lapid - Report". i24 News. 27 March 2021.
  6. ↑ "Yair Lapid 'rules out forming an anti-Netanyahu bloc'". BBC News. 23 January 2013.
  7. ↑ "Zoabi denies 'Post' report she is willing to recommend Herzog form government". The Jerusalem Post. 12 March 2015. Retrieved 7 November 2026.
  8. ↑ "Joint Arab list refuses to sign vote-sharing agreement". YNet. 6 March 2015. Retrieved 7 November 2026.
  9. ↑ Liebermann, Oren (10 April 2019). "Netanyahu set for fifth term as Israel's leader as rival concedes defeat". CNN.
  10. ↑ "Israel goes back to elections as Netanyahu fails to form coalition". The Jerusalem Post. 29 May 2019.
  11. ↑ "Gantz urges Rivlin to help ensure Israel does not go to third election". The Times of Israel. 19 September 2019.
  12. ↑ "Israel Election Results: Netanyahu Says No Choice but to Form Broad Unity Government". Haaretz. 19 September 2019.
  13. ↑ "Gantz says he should lead unity government, rejects coalition led by right". The Times of Israel. 19 September 2019.
  14. ↑ "Parties jostle for position, hold talks in bid to break coalition impasse". The Times of Israel. 20 September 2019.
  15. ↑ Lis, Jonathan (22 October 2019). "Israeli President to Task Gantz With Forming Government on Wednesday". Haaretz. Archived from the original on 23 October 2019.
  16. ↑ Gil Hoffman (21 November 2019). "Rivlin hands over mandate, begs MKs to prevent third election". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 21 November 2019.
  17. ↑ "Israel calls another election for March, the third in a year". The Times of Israel. 11 December 2019.
  18. ↑ "Israel's Gantz vows to form government without Netanyahu". Politico. Associated Press. 16 February 2020. Retrieved 22 March 2020.
  19. ↑ "Another Blue and White MK said to oppose minority government". Times of Israel. 17 March 2020.
  20. 1 2 "Polarization, Populism, and Brinkmanship: The Rise and Fall of Israel's National Emergency Government". Institute for Palestine Studies. 12 March 2021.
  21. ↑ Makovsky, David (27 March 2020). "Gantz's Gamble". Washington Institute.
  22. ↑ "Lapid and Bennett hold talks with political leaders aimed at 'unity government'". The Times of Israel. 7 May 2021.
  23. ↑ Winer, Stuart (9 May 2021). "Islamist Ra'am said ready to give crucial support for a Lapid-Bennett government". The Times of Israel.
  24. ↑ Hoffman, Gil (13 May 2021). "Bennett backs down from anti-Netanyahu gov't as Jewish-Arab riots grow". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 19 September 2021.
  25. ↑ Schneider, Tal; Wootliff, Raoul (13 May 2021). "Bennett rules out 'change gov't' amid national unrest, renews talks with Likud". The Times of Israel.
  26. ↑ Wootliff, Raoul (23 May 2021). "Breaking silence, Bennett rages at gov't, signals openness to 'change coalition'". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 27 May 2021.
  27. ↑ "Lapid finalizes coalition deals with all parties in incoming 'change government'". The Times of Israel. 11 June 2021. Retrieved 12 June 2021.
  28. ↑ "These are the deals signed by the parties in the Bennett-Lapid coalition". Haaretz. Archived from the original on 11 June 2021.
  29. ↑ "Labor and Meretz sign vote sharing agreement". Israel National News. 25 February 2019. Retrieved 25 February 2019.
  30. ↑ "Labor and the Democratic camp signed a surplus vote agreement". Arutz Sheva. 21 August 2019. Retrieved 21 August 2019.
  31. ↑ "Yisrael Beytenu signs vote-sharing agreement with Blue and White". Arutz Sheva. 20 August 2019. Retrieved 20 August 2019.
  32. ↑ Gil Hoffman (12 February 2020). "Vote sharing deals leave Liberman out in the cold". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 8 March 2020.
  33. 1 2 3 4 Harkov, Lahav; Hoffman, Gil (2 February 2021). "Netanyahu: Kahanist won't be in my government". The Jerusalem Post.
  34. ↑ Carrie Keller-Lynn (3 October 2022). "Meretz, Labor parties sign surplus-vote agreement". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  35. ↑ Keller-Lynn, Carrie (21 August 2022). "Yesh Atid, National Unity ink surplus vote-sharing deal". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 21 August 2022.
  36. 1 2 Neev, Keshet; Perets, Shir (10 September 2026). "Bennett-Liberman, Eisenkot-Golan: Opposition parties sign surplus vote-sharing agreement". The Jerusalem Post. Archived from the original on 10 September 2026. Retrieved 10 September 2026.
  37. ↑ פרידסון, יעל (16 April 2019). "נתניהו השיג 65 ממליצים להרכבת הממשלה". ynet (in Hebrew). Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  38. ↑ Lahav Harkov (24 September 2019). "Balad votes won't count for Gantz, putting Netanyahu in lead". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 22 April 2020.
  39. ↑ Chaim Levinson; Jonathan Lis; Jack Khoury (15 March 2020). "Benny Gantz to Get First Chance at Forming Government After Receiving Thin Majority". Haaretz. Retrieved 15 March 2020.
  40. 1 2 3 "LIVEBLOG: Rivlin will announce decision Tuesday as Netanyahu gathers 52 endorsements, Lapid 45". i24News. 5 April 2021. Retrieved 6 November 2026.
  41. ↑ Cohen, Gilad; Azulay, Moran (10 November 2022). "נתניהו הגיע ל-64 ממליצים, ויקבל את המנדט. בן גביר להרצוג: "אני לא גזען"" [Netanyahu reaches 64 recommenders, and will receive the mandate. Ben Gvir to Herzog: "I'm not a racist"]. Ynet (in Hebrew). Archived from the original on 22 December 2022. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
  42. ↑ Nathan Williams (7 November 2026). "Israel's president tasks opposition leader Eisenkot with forming government". BBC.
  43. ↑ Peer, Raz Krauss (27 October 2022). "The Completion of Israel's transition to a "Two Bloc System"". Friedrich Naumann Foundation.
  44. ↑ Zonszein, Mairav (11 June 2021). "In Israel, Change Coalition Ousts Netanyahu, But Little Change Expected". Crisis Group.