2026 United States Senate election in Iowa

2026 United States Senate election in Iowa
← 2020
November 3, 2026
2032 →
Reporting
98.99%
as of 8:39 AM CST
 
Nominee Josh Turek Ashley Hinson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 686,641 630,808
Percentage 50.5% 46.4%
Turek:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Hinson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Joni Ernst
Republican

 Elected U.S. Senator

Josh Turek
Democratic

The 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Iowa. Democratic state representative Josh Turek defeated Republican representative Ashley Hinson. Republican incumbent Joni Ernst did not seek a third term.

Primary elections were held on June 2. Endorsed by President Donald Trump, Hinson won the Republican nomination with 73.9% of the vote over former state senator Jim Carlin. Turek won the Democratic nomination with 62.6% of the vote over state senator Zach Wahls.

Turek is the first Democrat to win a Senate election in Iowa since 2008 and the first to win a federal statewide election in Iowa since Barack Obama's win in the 2012 presidential election.

Background

Since voting for President Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012, Iowa had trended increasingly Republican and was considered a moderately to strongly red state at the federal and state level. Republican nominee Donald Trump won Iowa in 2020 by 8 percentage points, and in 2024 grew his margin to 13 percentage points. Republicans controlled every statewide executive office (except the state auditor's office), majorities in both chambers of the state legislature, and the entire congressional delegation. Incumbent Senator Joni Ernst was first elected as part of the 2014 red wave and was reelected in 2020.

In the latter half of her second term, Ernst came under increasing pressure. In December 2024, she faced pushback from Republicans for her skepticism of Pete Hegseth's nomination for Secretary of Defense. She later sparked controversy for replying "we are all going to die" when a constituent confronted her for deaths that could be caused by cuts to Medicaid and SNAP, which she supported as part of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.

In September 2025, Ernst announced that she would not seek reelection, officially citing family obligations, although her decision was interpreted in light of previous controversies. The resulting open seat was expected to make the race more competitive.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Carlin
Executive branch officials
State legislators
Ashley Hinson
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations

Fundraising

Italics indicate a declined candidate.

Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jim Carlin (R) $293,966 $279,387 $14,578
Ashley Hinson (R) $7,267,266 $2,679,198 $6,516,143
Joni Ernst (R) $6,954,692 $5,485,942 $1,997,164
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ashley
Hinson		 Jim
Carlin		 Undecided
JMC Analytics (R) May 27–28, 2026 550 (A) ± 4.2% 58% 19% 23%
Hypothetical polling

Joni Ernst vs. "Someone Else"

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst		 Someone
Else		 Undecided
Victory Insights (R) December 6–7, 2024 600 (LV) – 48% 27% 26%

Results

Primary results by county:
  Hinson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Hinson 153,059 74.2
Republican Jim Carlin 53,196 25.8
Total votes 206,255 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Did not file

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Josh Turek
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Party officials
Individuals
  • Nathan Sage, market director for KNIA and former candidate for this seat
Organizations
Labor unions
Zach Wahls
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 3 current state senators
  • 4 former state senators
  • 3 current state representatives
  • 3 former state representatives
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Jackie Norris (withdrawn)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials

Fundraising

Italics indicate withdrawn candidate

Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nathan Sage (D) $1,432,562 $1,432,459 $102
Josh Turek (D) $2,808,701 $2,051,221 $757,480
Zach Wahls (D) $3,167,670 $2,112,265 $1,055,405
Jackie Norris (D) $363,563 $363,563 $0
J. D. Scholten (D) $213,415 $205,271 $8,144
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Josh
Turek		 Zach
Wahls		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) May 20–21, 2026 672 (LV) ± 3.8% 52% 31% – 17%
Public Policy Polling (D) May 5–6, 2026 764 (LV) ± 3.6% 53% 27% – 20%
Public Policy Polling (D) April 23, 2026 – (LV) – 41% 23% – 36%
FM3 Research (D) April 21–23, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 28% – 24%
Bedrock Polling March 26, 2026 1,022 (LV) ± 3.2% 38% 56% – 6%
FM3 Research (D) March 11–14, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 25% 34% – 41%
GQR (D) February 18–22, 2026 605 (LV) – 24% 42% – 34%
NRSC (R) February 16–18, 2026 1,923 (LV) ± 2.5% 23% 30% 5% 42%

Results

Primary results by county:
  Turek
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Wahls
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Josh Turek 120,287 62.7
Democratic Zach Wahls 71,663 37.3
Total votes 191,950 100.0

Libertarian primary

On June 2, the Laehn campaign submitted nearly 10,000 signatures to the Iowa Secretary of State, satisfying the 3,500 signature requirement to qualify for the ballot. Laehn was added to the candidate list as the Libertarian Party's candidate.

Candidates

Nominee

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Thomas Laehn (L) $42,944 $37,430 $5,513
Source: Federal Election Commission

General election

According to The Daily Iowan, the cost of living, inflation, tariffs, health-care affordability, agriculture, and AI data centers are contested issues of the campaign. Debates focused on which candidate was most capable to handle the American affordability crisis. Turek has said he would reverse the Medicaid spending cuts passed under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Hinson supported the cuts as fiscally responsible as well as Trump's tariffs.

Hinson ran on socially conservative policies, opposing a legal right to have an abortion with exceptions for rape, incest, and the life of the mother and LGBTQ movements. Turek supports restoring the abortion protections that Roe v. Wade previously provided, by passing a federal law. He claimed that Iowa's six-week abortion ban reduced OB-GYN services available. Turek affirmed conservative policies on guns, transgender rights, and immigration.

Turek criticized the concentration of artificial intelligence technology in the hands of a few companies. He supports regulating data centers, opposes tax breaks for their operators, and "safeguards" for the technology. Hinson is in favor of AI development, and says that preparation for workers is necessary to adapt to AI job losses. She said an "AI economy" is necessary to win an American-Chinese AI arms race, "because the truth is: if we don't, China will."

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
ABC News Tossup October 26, 2026
CBS News Lean R October 30, 2026
The Cook Political Report Tossup November 2, 2026
Decision Desk HQ Tossup November 2, 2026
The Economist Lean R November 2, 2026
FiftyPlusOne Tossup November 2, 2026
Fox News Tossup November 1, 2026
Inside Elections Tossup October 29, 2026
MS NOW Lean R October 29, 2026
NBC News Tossup November 2, 2026
RealClearPolitics Tossup November 2, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean R November 2, 2026
Silver Bulletin Tossup November 2, 2026
Split Ticket Tossup November 2, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

Ashley Hinson (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties
Josh Turek (D)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Political parties
Declined to endorse
State legislators
  • Jim Carlin, former SD-03 (2017–2023) and primary candidate for this seat (Republican; later endorsed Hinson)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 14, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ashley Hinson (R) $14,147,973 $13,903,059 $2,172,989
Josh Turek (D) $24,290,521 $21,217,670 $3,072,851
Thomas Laehn (L) $83,667 $74,632 $9,035
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Ashley
Hinson (R)		 Josh
Turek (D)		 Other/
Undecided		 Margin
270toWin October 16 – November 1, 2026 November 3, 2026 46.8% 47.7% 5.5% Turek +0.9%
Decision Desk HQ through November 1, 2026 November 3, 2026 47.3% 47.0% 5.7% Hinson +0.3%
FiftyPlusOne through November 1, 2026 November 3, 2026 47.2% 47.8% 5.0% Turek +0.6%
RealClearPolitics October 13 – November 1, 2026 November 2, 2026 47.1% 47.1% 5.8% Tie
Silver Bulletin through November 1, 2026 November 3, 2026 46.7% 47.7% 5.6% Turek +1.0%
Average 47.0% 47.5% 5.5% Turek +0.5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ashley
Hinson (R)		 Josh
Turek (D)		 Other Undecided
AtlasIntel October 28 – November 1, 2026 1,219 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 3% 0%
New York Times/Siena University October 26 – November 1, 2026 705 (LV) ± 4.7% 47% 48% 0% 5%
GrayHouse (R) October 28–31, 2026 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 2% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) October 27–31, 2026 901 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 46% 3% 5%
YouGov October 26–29, 2026 2,020 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 50% 1% 0%
co/efficient (R) October 28, 2026 1,020 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 46% 1% 5%
Echelon Insights (R) October 16–23, 2026 403 (LV) ± 6.5% 43% 45% 7% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) October 21–22, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 45% — 8%
co/efficient (R) October 15–19, 2026 863 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 45% 2% 6%
49% 46% — 5%
Trafalgar Group (R) October 13–15, 2026 1,094 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 44% 4% 6%
GS Strategy Group (R)/
New River Strategies (D)		 October 9–13, 2026 602 (LV) — 44% 46% 8% 2%
NPA Polling October 8–12, 2026 678 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 44% 4% 5%
48% 47% — 4%
YouGov October 6–12, 2026 2,245 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 47% 2% 4%
Marist University October 8–11, 2026 —(LV) ± 6.6% 45% 48% 3% 4%
1,100 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 51% 2% 3%
Emerson College October 5–6, 2026 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 45% 2% 7%
SSRS September 29 – October 5, 2026 801 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 43% 11% —
Suffolk University October 1–4, 2026 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 48% 3% 6%
New York Times/Siena University September 22 – October 1, 2026 606 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 47% — 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R) September 28–30, 2026 1,048 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 47% 3% 7%
Quantus Insights (R) September 28–29, 2026 738 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 46% 2% 5%
49% 47% – 4%
51% 49% – –
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)		 September 24–28, 2026 1,008 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% — 4%
1,204 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 50% — 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) September 22–23, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 46% 47% 3% 4%
Marist University September 17–20, 2026 1,050 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 50% 2% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R) September 16–18, 2026 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 42% 3% 10%
co/efficient (R) September 14–16, 2026 831 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 42% 2% 9%
48% 43% – 9%
Cygnal (R) September 9–11, 2026 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 43% 4% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (R) September 8–10, 2026 1,031 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 45% 4% 11%
YouGov September 3–8, 2026 2,169 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 44% 3% 11%
2,041 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 47% 1% 8%
Emerson College August 31 – September 1, 2026 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 45% 1% 5%
Global Strategy Group (D) August 27–31, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 46% 6% 6%
Abacus Data August 26–28, 2026 323 (LV) — 45% 54% 1% —
500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 52% 2% —
Suffolk University August 20–23, 2026 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 41% 4% 10%
Emerson College August 2–4, 2026 712 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 45% — 6%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)		 June 23–27, 2026 1,003 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 50% — 4%
New York Times/Siena University June 15–27, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 46% — 5%
Cygnal (R) June 16–19, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 44% — 10%
Global Strategy Group (D) June 8–11, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 47% — 8%
Public Policy Polling (D) June 3–4, 2026 557 (RV) ± 4.2% 46% 46% — 7%
June 2, 2026 Primary elections
Echelon Insights (R) April 3–9, 2026 377 (LV) ± 6.6% 45% 46% — 9%
GQR (D) March 10–16, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 43% — 11%
Change Research (D) January 8–11, 2026 1,108 (LV) — 44% 41% 1% 14%
Hypothetical polling

Ashley Hinson vs. Nathan Sage

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ashley
Hinson (R)		 Nathan
Sage (D)		 Other Undecided
Change Research (D) January 8–11, 2026 1,108 (LV) — 44% 41% 1% 14%

Ashley Hinson vs. Zach Wahls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ashley
Hinson (R)		 Zach
Wahls (D)		 Other Undecided
Echelon Insights (R) April 3–9, 2026 377 (LV) ± 6.6% 44% 46% — 10%
GQR (D) March 10–16, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 44% — 9%
Change Research (D) January 8–11, 2026 1,108 (LV) — 44% 41% 2% 13%

Joni Ernst vs. Jackie Norris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Jackie
Norris (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 18–19, 2025 572 (V) ± 4.1% 45% 42% 13%

Joni Ernst vs. Nathan Sage

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Nathan
Sage (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 18–19, 2025 572 (V) ± 4.1% 45% 41% 14%

Joni Ernst vs. Josh Turek

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Josh
Turek (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 18–19, 2025 572 (V) ± 4.1% 45% 41% 14%

Joni Ernst vs. Zach Wahls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Zach
Wahls (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 18–19, 2025 572 (V) ± 4.1% 43% 42% 15%

Joni Ernst vs. Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Joni
Ernst (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) June 2–3, 2025 568 (V) ± 4.1% 45% 43% 12%

Generic Republican vs. Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
co/efficient (R) September 14–16, 2026 831 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 43% 9%

Debates

2026 United States Senate election in Iowa debates
No. Date Host Moderators Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
Josh Turek Ashley Hinson
1 October 7, 2026 Iowa PBS Kay Henderson PBS P P

Results

2026 United States Senate election in Iowa
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Josh Turek 686,486 50.51% +5.36%
Republican Ashley Hinson 630,615 46.40% −5.34%
Libertarian Thomas Laehn 42,086 3.09% +0.88%
Total votes 1,359,187 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic:

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑
  3. ↑
  4. ↑
  5. ↑
  6. ↑
  7. ↑
  8. ↑
  9. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%
  10. ↑ The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
  11. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. ↑ "Other" with 3%; "Would not vote" with <1%
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 Thomas Laehn (L) with 2%
  14. 1 2 Thomas Laehn (L) with 3%
  15. 1 2 Thomas Laehn (L) with 1%
  16. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 7%
  17. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 4%
  18. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 8%
  19. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 4%
  20. ↑ In a two-way race between Hinson and Turek
  21. ↑ "Another party's candidate" with 2%; "No response" with 1%
  22. ↑ ”Another party’s candidate” with 2%
  23. ↑ "Neither" with 8%; "Other" with 3%
  24. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  25. ↑ Leaners pushed
  26. ↑ Two-way
  27. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 2%, "Another candidate" with 1%
  28. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 3%
  29. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 4%
  30. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 4%
  31. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
    "I will not vote in this race" with 2%
  32. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  33. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 6%
  34. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
  35. ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%
  36. ↑ Thomas Laehn (L) with 4%
  37. 1 2 "Would not vote" with 1%
  38. ↑ "Would not vote" with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 Poll commissioned by VoteVets, which supports Turek
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll sponsored by Turek's campaign
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Teamsters Local 238
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Wahls's campaign
  5. ↑ Poll conducted for NetChoice
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report.
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  8. ↑ Poll conducted for CNN
  9. 1 2 Poll conducted for Fox News
  10. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by Iowans for Tax Relief
  12. ↑ Poll conducted for the DSCC
  13. 1 2 Poll commissioned by NetChoice
  14. ↑ Poll sponsored by Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic candidates

References

  1. 1 2 Jacobs, Jennifer (September 2, 2025). "Joni Ernst announces retirement from Senate in 2026, pledges ongoing community involvement". KGAN. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
  2. ↑ "Could Iowa Democrats Win 2026's Gubernatorial and US Senate Races?". Smart Politics. June 3, 2026. Retrieved June 6, 2026.
  3. ↑ Ta, Linh (November 6, 2024). "Iowa remains solidly Republican". Axios. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
  4. ↑ Barrett, Ted (November 5, 2014). "Joni Ernst wins Iowa Senate race". CNN. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
  5. ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (November 2, 2020). "'Six more years!': Republican U.S. Sen. Joni Ernst wins reelection, beating Democrat Theresa Greenfield". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
  6. ↑ Copp, Tara (December 7, 2024). "Sen. Joni Ernst wants to hear from Hegseth on sex assault in the military and women in combat". Associated Press. Retrieved October 17, 2026.
  7. ↑ Wise, Alana (May 31, 2025). "Sen. Ernst doubles down on bleak response to Medicaid grilling". NPR. Archived from the original on May 31, 2025.
  8. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (September 2, 2025). "U.S. Sen. Joni Ernst announces she will not seek reelection". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved October 17, 2026.
  9. ↑ The Associated Press (September 2, 2025). "Sen. Joni Ernst of Iowa confirms she will not run for reelection in 2026". MPR News. Retrieved October 17, 2026.
  10. ↑ Richards, Zoë (September 2, 2025). "GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson announces Senate bid for open Iowa seat". NBC News. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
  11. ↑ Hayworth, Bret (April 16, 2025). "Iowa politics: Republican Jim Carlin announces U.S. Senate campaign". KCCI. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  12. ↑ Belin, Laura (December 9, 2024). "Joshua Smith to challenge Joni Ernst in GOP primary". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
  13. ↑ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (September 8, 2025). "Morning Digest: Kansas Republicans want to gerrymander. They have a few problems". The Downballot. Retrieved September 8, 2025.
  14. ↑ Geer, Caleb (January 10, 2026). "Sen. Joni Ernst, additional Iowa Republicans endorse Rep. Ashley Hinson for US Senate". weareiowa.com. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  15. ↑ Pfannenstiel, Sabine Martin and Brianne (January 27, 2025). "Donald Trump supporter Kari Lake postpones Iowa homecoming for MAGA event". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 1, 2025. Speculation swirled among MAGA-minded Republicans in Iowa who suggested on social media that Lake would be a strong potential primary challenger to Ernst...Lake's spokesperson Alex Nicoll told The Arizona Republic after news of the event that she's not planning to be a political candidate.
  16. ↑ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (September 3, 2025). "Morning Digest: How Democrats can fight back against the Missouri GOP's new gerrymander". The Downballot. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  17. 1 2 Pfannenstiel, Brianne (September 2, 2025). "Iowa Republican Ashley Hinson announces 2026 US Senate campaign". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 4, 2025.
  18. 1 2 3 "Iowa's US Senate candidates make final push before Tuesday's primary". KCRG.com. June 1, 2026. Retrieved June 30, 2026.
  19. 1 2 3 4 "Former AG Tom Miller endorses Josh Turek in Iowa's Democratic Senate primary". The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier. September 9, 2025. Retrieved September 9, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  20. 1 2 "U.S. Senate election endorsements". Ballotpedia. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
  21. ↑ Belin, Laura (September 7, 2025). "Ashley Hinson's Senate rollout: Short-term success, long-term risks". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved September 7, 2025.
  22. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Steinhauser, Paul (September 2, 2025). "Republican rising star Ashley Hinson announces Senate bid in race to succeed Iowa's Ernst". Fox News. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  23. ↑ Fields, Ashleigh (September 5, 2025). "Trump endorses Ashley Hinson in Iowa Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved September 6, 2025.
  24. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Markus, Nicole (September 5, 2025). "Republicans move quickly to support Ashley Hinson's Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved September 5, 2025.
  25. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen. "Incumbent Joni Ernst endorses Ashley Hinson to succeed her in US Senate". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  26. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (September 10, 2025). "U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley: Hinson is 'fully qualified' to take U.S. Senate seat in 2026". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved June 30, 2026.
  27. ↑ "U.S. Senate election endorsements". Ballotpedia. Retrieved October 31, 2025.
  28. ↑ "Sen. Joni Ernst, additional Iowa Republicans endorse Rep. Ashley Hinson for US Senate". WeAreIowa. January 10, 2026. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  29. ↑ "Gov. Kim Reynolds endorses Rep. Ashley Hinson for US Senate". WQAD. January 29, 2026. Retrieved January 30, 2026.
  30. ↑ "Thank You for Supporting Pro-Israel Candidates". Retrieved January 26, 2026.
  31. ↑ "PRESS RELEASE: ACC Action Releases First Wave of 2026 Endorsements". American Conservation Coalition. May 12, 2026. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
  32. ↑ "AFP Action Endorses Ashley Hinson for U.S. Senate". Americans for Prosperity Action. May 7, 2026. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
  33. ↑ "2026 GOP Clean Energy Leaders". ClearPath Action Fund. Retrieved January 28, 2026.
  34. ↑ "22 Republicans endorsed by LGBT organization: Full list of names". Newsweek. February 3, 2026. Retrieved February 4, 2026.
  35. ↑ "Maggie's List Endorses Hinson in Iowa, Noveletsky in New Hampshire". maggieslist.org. October 3, 2025. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
  36. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". November 27, 2025. Retrieved September 7, 2026.
  37. 1 2 3 4 "2026 Election United States Senate – Iowa". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  38. ↑ "Iowa Statewide GOP Primary Republican Primary Election" (PDF). JMC Analytics and Polling. Retrieved May 29, 2026.
  39. ↑ "NEW POLL: Less Than Half of Iowa Republicans Support Joni Ernst for US Senate in 2026" (PDF). Victory Insights. December 9, 2024. Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  40. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (August 12, 2025). "Iowa Rep. Josh Turek, two-time Paralympian, launches campaign for U.S. Senate". KCCI. Retrieved August 15, 2025.
  41. ↑ Koons, Cami (June 11, 2025). "Democrat Zach Wahls announces bid for U.S. Senate". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved June 11, 2025.
  42. ↑ "Bob Krause announces candidacy for U.S. Senate, endorses Bohannan in House race". KGAN. September 2, 2025. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
  43. ↑ Henderson, O. Kay (October 13, 2025). "Coralville Democrat says he'll run for US Senate in 2026". Radio Iowa. Retrieved October 15, 2025.
  44. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (October 16, 2025). "DMPS Board Chair Jackie Norris ends US Senate campaign after superintendent arrest". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved October 16, 2025.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  45. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (February 15, 2026). "Democrat Nathan Sage ends his campaign for Iowa's US Senate seat". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 15, 2026.
  46. 1 2 Gruber-Miller, Stephen (February 16, 2026). "Nathan Sage endorses Josh Turek in Iowa's Democratic US Senate race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 16, 2026.
  47. 1 2 Gruber-Miller, Stephen (August 18, 2025). "Democrat J.D. Scholten drops out of Iowa's 2026 US Senate race and endorses Josh Turek". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 18, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  48. ↑ Wren, Adam (May 13, 2026). "Buttigieg picks sides in Iowa". Politico. Retrieved May 13, 2026.
  49. 1 2 3 Blanchard, Jack; Burns, Dasha (March 16, 2026). "Trump's Sunday night crashout". POLITICO. Retrieved March 16, 2026.
  50. ↑ Blanchard, Jack (March 31, 2026). "The next tests of Trump's power". Politico.
  51. ↑ "Gallego endorses Turek in Iowa Democratic Senate primary". The Gazette. May 20, 2026. Retrieved May 20, 2026.
  52. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (May 8, 2026). "Former US Sen. Tom Harkin endorses Josh Turek in Iowa Senate primary". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 8, 2026.
  53. 1 2 3 4 5 "Outside influence, division grows in Iowa U.S. Senate primary". The Gazette. February 20, 2026. Retrieved February 21, 2026.
  54. ↑ Lehrich, Jesse (December 5, 2025). "the new politics of endorsements". Nobody's Listening.
  55. 1 2 3 Opsahl, Robin (November 18, 2025). "Democratic U.S. Senate candidates Zach Wahls, Josh Turek tout new endorsements • Iowa Capital Dispatch". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved November 28, 2025.
  56. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Price, Dave (September 3, 2025). "Challengers tout endorsements amid major Iowa race shakeup". KWQC. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  57. ↑ "Charlie Kirk's group endorses Joe Mitchell in Iowa Republican Congressional primary". The Gazette. December 8, 2025. Retrieved December 8, 2025.
  58. ↑ "Former Democratic state party chair backs Turek for Senate". April 26, 2026. Retrieved April 26, 2026.
  59. ↑ "Endorsements – Defend The Vote". Retrieved September 25, 2026.
  60. ↑ Goldstein, Luke; Schwenk, Katya (June 2, 2026). "Democratic Dark Money PACs Are Taking Aim at Progressives". Jacobin. Retrieved June 13, 2026.
  61. 1 2 Opsahl, Robin (December 3, 2025). "Iowa Rep. Josh Turek, Sen. Zach Wahls receive union endorsements in U.S. Senate Democratic primary". KCRG. Retrieved December 4, 2025.
  62. ↑ "Campaign Almanac: Labor union backs Josh Turek for U.S. Senate in Iowa". December 23, 2025. Retrieved January 7, 2026.
  63. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (March 19, 2026). "Elizabeth Warren endorses Zach Wahls in Iowa's US Senate primary race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 19, 2026.
  64. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 "Campaign Almanac: Iowa Democrat Wahls announces slate of endorsements for Senate campaign". The Gazette. July 23, 2025. Retrieved August 29, 2025.
  65. 1 2 "Jason Kander, labor group endorse Zach Wahls for U.S. Senate". Globe Gazette. November 13, 2025. Retrieved November 16, 2025.
  66. ↑ "Former governor candidate Hubbell endorses Wahls in Iowa's Democratic Senate primary". Sioux City Journal. February 5, 2026. Retrieved February 5, 2026.
  67. ↑ "Central Iowa Building and Construction Trades Council endorses Zach Wahls in U.S. Senate race". Globe Gazette. February 23, 2026. Retrieved February 25, 2026.
  68. 1 2 "Campaign Almanac: Iowa construction union backs Summit pipeline, Senate GOP eminent domain bill". The Gazette. January 30, 2026. Retrieved January 31, 2026.
  69. ↑ Woolard, Megan (August 18, 2025). "Wahls makes labor core tenet of U.S. Senate campaign". The Gazette. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  70. ↑ "Campaign Almanac: U.S. Rep. Jim Jordan endorses Joe Mitchell in Eastern Iowa Republican primary". The Gazette Archived. Retrieved November 25, 2025.
  71. 1 2 3 4 5 Gazette-Lee Des Moines Bureau (September 15, 2025). "Campaign Almanac: Elections forecaster shifts Iowa U.S. House race toward Democrats as race takes shape". The Gazette. Retrieved September 18, 2025.
  72. ↑ "Elevator union backs Wahls in Iowa Senate race; House leader endorses Steen for governor". Sioux City Journal. March 1, 2026. Retrieved March 2, 2026.
  73. ↑ "Zach Wahls". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.
  74. ↑ Jensen, Tom (May 21, 2026). "Turek Continues to Hold Commanding Lead Over Wahls in Iowa Democratic Primary Election" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved May 22, 2026 – via Punchbowl News.
  75. 1 2 Wren, Adam [@adamwren] (May 6, 2026). "Scooplet: An internal @turek4iowa poll post-debate has him up over 50 percent in Iowa, leading @ZachWahls 53-27" (Tweet). Retrieved May 6, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  76. 1 2 "Iowa U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Election Survey Results". FM3 Research. April 27, 2026. Retrieved April 28, 2026 – via Politico.
  77. ↑ "Iowa U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Survey". Teamsters Local 238. March 26, 2026. Retrieved April 1, 2026.
  78. ↑ "Zach Wahls leads by 18 points in the primary election for U.S. Senate". GQR. February 24, 2026. Retrieved February 25, 2026 – via Google Drive.
  79. ↑ "NEW NRSC POLL: Wahls leading Turek in Iowa Democrat Primary". National Republican Senatorial Committee. February 19, 2026. Retrieved February 20, 2026.
  80. ↑ "Laehn Submits Nomination Petitions to Qualify for 2026 U.S. Senate Race – The Iowa Standard". theiowastandard.com. June 2, 2026. Retrieved August 2, 2026.
  81. ↑ "Candidate List – November 3, 2026 General Election" (PDF). sos.iowa.gov.
  82. ↑ Foix, Chase (April 21, 2025). "US Senate hopeful speaks to Rotary Club of Sioux City". KCAU-TV. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
  83. 1 2 3 Olson, Anna. "Hinson, Turek debate farms, Iowa data centers in last debate". The Daily Iowan. Retrieved October 28, 2026.
  84. 1 2 3 Wagner, Bayliss (October 30, 2026). "Democrats, Hopeful All Over the Senate Map, Remain Jittery About Iowa". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
  85. 1 2 3 Gruber-Miller, Stephen (March 10, 2026). "Josh Turek hears rural health care concerns, pitches public option". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved April 22, 2026.
  86. ↑ Robin, Opsahl (August 12, 2025). "Iowa Rep. Josh Turek, two-time Paralympian, launches campaign for U.S. Senate". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved April 22, 2026.
  87. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (March 10, 2026). "Josh Turek hears rural health care concerns, pitches public option". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved April 22, 2026.
  88. ↑ Robin, Opsahl (August 12, 2025). "Iowa Rep. Josh Turek, two-time Paralympian, launches campaign for U.S. Senate". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved April 22, 2026.
  89. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Marissa Payne and Stephen. "How Iowa congressional candidates are talking about abortion in 2026". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
  90. ↑ Rooker, Amanda (September 10, 2026). "Why Republican themes are showing up in some Iowa Democrats' ads". KCCI. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
  91. ↑ "Josh Turek says Congress has a role in regulating A.I." (video). C-SPAN. September 21, 2026. Retrieved October 26, 2026.
  92. ↑ Collins, Terry (September 30, 2026). "Democrats are running against data centers in key Senate races". USA Today. Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek, a Paralympic gold medalist basketball player running for Senate, and Iowa state auditor Rob Sand, the Democratic nominee for governor, both frame their opposition to data centers as holding large corporations accountable. "We want to make sure large corporations are paying their fair share, not getting tax breaks," Turek told reporters on Sept. 21 during a campaign stop in Des Moines. "I think also making sure we've got strong guardrails to make sure they are not driving up the energy rate to the end user."
  93. ↑ Lemon, Jason; Commander, Anna (October 7, 2026). "Turek, Hinson Clash in Iowa US Senate Debate: Key Moments, Polls". Newsweek. Turek said that AI will fundamentally transform our society. "I agree we should not cede the ground to China," he said, but added that Americans need protections for jobs and more. "I am absolutely in favor of some regulations on data centers," Turek said, while calling for no more tax breaks for companies.
  94. ↑ Feng, Lin (October 20, 2026). "From Soybeans to Data Centers, China Debate Hits US Midterm Campaigns". Voice of America. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
  95. ↑ Hinson, Ashley (March 20, 2026). "Ashley Hinson Op-Ed: Congress needs to ensure that the AI future belongs to our kids, not to Beijing". Retrieved October 31, 2026.
  96. ↑ Pecorin, Allison (October 26, 2026). "These key Senate races will determine which party controls the body next year". ABC News. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  97. ↑ "U.S. Senate: Battleground Races". CBS News. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  98. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  99. ↑ "2026 Senate Ratings". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  100. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". The Economist. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  101. ↑ "2026 Congressional Forecast". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  102. ↑ Numa, Rémy (November 1, 2026). "Fox News Power Rankings: Kansas moves to Toss-up, Nebraska moves to Lean R". Fox News. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  103. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  104. ↑ Khanna, Kabir; Thomas, Shawna (October 29, 2026) [August 19, 2026]. "2026 Senate ratings: MS NOW's races to watch". MS NOW. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  105. ↑ MS NOW shifts Senate races in SC, MS. MS NOW. October 29, 2026. Retrieved November 2, 2026 – via YouTube.
  106. ↑ "The race for Congress: 2026 midterms". NBC News. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  107. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2026". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  108. ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  109. 1 2 Silver, Nate; McKown-Dawson, Eli (November 2, 2026) [August 11, 2026]. "FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast". Silver Bulletin. Retrieved November 2, 2026 – via Substack.
  110. ↑ "Split Ticket 2026 Midterms Model". The Argument. Retrieved November 2, 2026 – via Substack.
  111. 1 2 Schleifer, Theodore; Wagner, Bayliss (September 21, 2026). "Bush and Cornyn Leave Out Paxton as They Raise Cash for Senate Candidates". The New York Times. Retrieved September 21, 2026.
  112. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (August 29, 2026). "Sen. Ted Cruz criticizes Democrats as 'Marxists and Islamists' at Hinson event in Iowa". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
  113. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (October 20, 2026). "Elon Musk part of $137M in outside spending on Iowa US Senate race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  114. ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (September 18, 2026). "JD Vance targets Rob Sand in Council Bluffs rally ahead of midterms". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 18, 2026.
  115. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (September 18, 2026). "Hinson, Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming highlight GOP tips, overtime tax cuts". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
  116. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (July 25, 2026). "Sen. Ted Cruz calls for regulating kids' use of AI chatbots at Hinson campaign event". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved July 25, 2026.
  117. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (September 19, 2026). "US Sen. John Kennedy, in Iowa, predicts end of Iran war in 6 months". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
  118. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Breckenridge, Ayrton (August 24, 2026). "Supporters gathered for Rep. Ashley Hinson's 5th annual BBQ bash". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 28, 2026.
  119. ↑ Draisey, Brooklyn (September 12, 2026). "Iowa, national politicians court voters at CyHawk tailgates". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 15, 2026.
  120. 1 2 Luhmann, Kadin (July 17, 2026). "Speaker Mike Johnson condemns Democratic Socialists at Iowa Christian gathering". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved July 17, 2026.
  121. ↑ "Iowa's Hinson endorsed by former primary challenger, critic". The Gazette. October 19, 2026. Retrieved October 19, 2026.
  122. 1 2 3 4 LaCross, Travis (August 30, 2026). "See photos of the Ashley Hinson BBQ Bash fundraiser". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
  123. ↑ Hotle, David (August 19, 2026). "GOP members endorse Ashley Hinson". Clear Lake Mirror Report. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
  124. ↑ Oren Smith, Zachary (August 5, 2026). "Pipeline exec Bruce Rastetter is bankrolling Ashley Hinson". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved August 5, 2026.
  125. ↑ "Border Patrol union endorses Ashley Hinson for U.S. Senate". The Gazette. October 13, 2026. Retrieved October 16, 2026.
  126. ↑ Kamisar, Ben (September 3, 2026). "Elon Musk's super PAC dives into the midterms to bolster Republicans in battleground races". NBC News. Retrieved September 7, 2026.
  127. ↑ "Iowa Corn Growers Association PAC Announces 2026 Candidate Endorsements". Retrieved September 22, 2026.
  128. ↑ "Iowa Farm Bureau names Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig and U.S. Senate candidate Ashley Hinson as a 'Friend of Agriculture'". Retrieved September 2, 2026.
  129. ↑ "Iowa Small Businesses Endorse Slate of Candidates for Election to Congress". National Federation of Independent Business. October 14, 2026. Retrieved October 16, 2026.
  130. ↑ "NRA-PVF Grades – Iowa". Archived from the original on September 15, 2026. Retrieved September 15, 2026.
  131. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (September 30, 2026). "Ashley Hinson gets $20M boost from GOP super PAC in Iowa Senate race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 30, 2026.
  132. ↑ Reeves, Lacey (October 11, 2026). "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa Senate race". KCRG9. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
  133. 1 2 Draisey, Brooklyn (September 9, 2026). "Josh Turek calls for lifting income cap on Social Securety to sustain program". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 10, 2026.
  134. ↑ Fingerhut, Hannah (July 29, 2026). "Obama endorses Iowa Democrat Turek for the US Senate in a video of them playing basketball". AP News. Retrieved July 29, 2026.
  135. ↑ Shutt, Jennifer (September 22, 2026). "GOP's 'rubberstamp' of Trump puts US Senate in play, Dem campaign chair says". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved September 23, 2026.
  136. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (August 13, 2026). "Sen. Mark Kelly calls for Iowans to elect Democrats so Congress can investigate Trump 'corruption'". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved August 14, 2026.
  137. ↑ Johnson, Madelyn (October 15, 2026). "Andy Kim rallies UI students, community for final early voting push". The Daily Iowan. Retrieved October 16, 2026.
  138. ↑ "Post from Elissa Slotkin – YouTube". June 11, 2026 – via YouTube.
  139. ↑ Messinger, Ben; Wason, Sanya (November 2, 2026). "Maryland's Democratic lawmakers campaign for out-of-state candidates as midterms approach". Capital News Service. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  140. 1 2 Schroeder, Joanna (August 29, 2026). "Iowa Democratic candidates push for term limits at Polk County Steak Fry". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved August 30, 2026.
  141. 1 2 "60 DAYS OUT: More Than 60 "Republicans for Turek" Endorse Josh Turek For U.S. Senate". Retrieved October 26, 2026.
  142. ↑ Opsahl, Robin (June 2, 2026). "Rep. Josh Turek wins U.S. Senate primary race against Sen. Zach Wahls". Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved August 12, 2026.
  143. ↑ Yglesias, Matthew (July 13, 2026). "The midterm candidates who deserve your money". Slow Boring. Retrieved September 22, 2026.
  144. ↑ "Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Iowa's Josh Turek for Election to U.S. Senate". AFGE. September 1, 2026. Retrieved September 4, 2026.
  145. ↑ "Iowa Farmers Union Endorses Congressional Candidates for 2026 Elections". Retrieved September 24, 2026.
  146. ↑ "Firefighters group endorses Josh Turek for U.S. Senate". The Gazette. October 8, 2026. Retrieved October 11, 2026.
  147. ↑ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
  148. ↑ "Iowa". UAW Power. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  149. ↑ "End Citizens United Endorses Josh Turek for U.S. Senate in Iowa". End Citizens United. June 3, 2026. Retrieved June 3, 2026.
  150. ↑ "2026 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved May 29, 2026.
  151. ↑ "Josh Turek". J Street PAC. Retrieved July 9, 2026.
  152. ↑ "Jewish Dems Endorsed Candidates". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved July 9, 2026.
  153. ↑ "2025–2026 Endorsements". Retrieved October 13, 2026.
  154. ↑ "2026 Endorsements". Peace Action. Retrieved October 13, 2026.
  155. ↑ "Elections – Reproductive Freedom for All". Retrieved September 3, 2026.
  156. ↑ "Register editorial board endorses Josh Turek for US Senate". The Des Moines Register. October 25, 2026. Retrieved October 26, 2026.
  157. ↑ "Opinion: Iowa should send Josh Turek to the U.S. Senate". The Gazette. October 21, 2026. Retrieved October 21, 2026.
  158. ↑ "Federal Candidates – Iowa Democratic Party". Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  159. ↑ Baccari, Ray (June 16, 2026). "Jim Carlin tells supporters not to support Ashley Hinson in Senate Race". CBS2Iowa.com. Retrieved June 20, 2026.
  160. ↑ "2026 Polls: Iowa Senate". 270toWin. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  161. ↑ "2026 Iowa US Senate". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  162. ↑ "Iowa General Senate Election". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  163. ↑ "2026 Iowa Senate – Hinson vs Turek". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  164. ↑ "USA: Iowa Atlas/Pollstergraph Poll". AtlasIntel. November 2, 2026.
  165. ↑ "Toplines: October 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Iowa". The New York Times. November 1, 2026. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  166. ↑ "GrayHouse Poll: Hinson Leads in Iowa by 2". Grayhouse. November 2, 2026. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  167. ↑ "Toplines - Iowa Senate - October 27-31, 2026". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved November 2, 2026.
  168. ↑ "Iowa General Election 2026 – Likely Voters" (PDF). YouGov. November 1, 2026. Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  169. ↑ "Iowa · U.S. Senate". co/efficient. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
  170. ↑ "NetChoice/Echelon Insights Poll: Voters Rank AI Regulation Far Behind Cost of Living, Want One National AI Standard". NetChoice. October 27, 2026. Retrieved October 27, 2026.
  171. ↑ "InsiderAdvantage Senate Surveys: MI-El-Sayed 47, Rogers 46; IA- Hinson 47, Turek 45; OH-Brown 47, Husted 44". InsiderAdvantage. Retrieved October 23, 2026.
  172. 1 2 3 "Iowa · U.S. Senate". co/efficient. Retrieved October 19, 2026.
  173. ↑ "Iowa Statewide General Election Poll October 2026" (PDF). thetrafalgargroup. Retrieved October 17, 2026.
  174. ↑ "Senate Battleground District Project: October 2026 Toplines". The Cook Political Report. October 21, 2026.
  175. ↑ "Iowa 2026 General Election Survey Results" (PDF). Retrieved October 19, 2026.
  176. ↑ "Iowa General Election 2026 – Likely Voters" (PDF). YouGov. October 14, 2026. Retrieved October 14, 2026.
  177. ↑ "2026 Midterm Elections in Iowa, October 2026" (PDF). Marist University. Retrieved October 14, 2026.
  178. ↑ "Iowa 2026 Poll: U.S. Senate Race Tightens; Sand Maintains Edge for Governor". Emerson College Polling. September 3, 2026. Retrieved October 9, 2026.
  179. ↑ "CNN Iowa Poll Conducted by SSRS". SSRS. October 8, 2026. Retrieved October 8, 2026 – via DocumentCloud.
  180. ↑ "Suffolk University Poll: In Iowa, Turek Overtakes Hinson in Senate Race While Sand Opens Up a Double-Digit Lead in Race for Governor – Statewide Marginals" (PDF). Suffolk University. October 7, 2026. Retrieved October 7, 2026.
  181. ↑ "Toplines: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Iowa". The New York Times. October 3, 2026. Retrieved October 3, 2026.
  182. ↑ "Election 2026: Iowa Senate". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 2, 2026.
  183. ↑ "Quantus Insights: Hinson Holds Narrow Edge in Iowa Senate Race". Quantus Insights. Retrieved September 30, 2026.
  184. ↑ Balara, Victoria (October 1, 2026). "Fox News Poll: Turek, Hinson in close Iowa Senate race". Fox News. Retrieved October 1, 2026.
  185. ↑ "IA Topline Tabs". InsiderAdvantage. September 26, 2026. Retrieved September 26, 2026.
  186. ↑ "2026 Midterm Elections in Iowa, September 2026". Marist Poll. Retrieved September 22, 2026.
  187. ↑ "Iowa Statewide General Election Poll September 2026" (PDF). thetrafalgargroup. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
  188. ↑ "Survey of Likely General Election Voters Iowa Statewide" (PDF). Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation. Retrieved September 15, 2026.
  189. ↑ "Iowa Senate: Turek Leads by 5 Points". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved September 11, 2026.
  190. ↑ "Iowa General Election 2026" (PDF). September 11, 2026. Retrieved September 11, 2026.
  191. ↑ "Iowa 2026 Poll: Hinson Leads Turek for U.S. Senate, Sand Maintains Edge over Lahn for Governor". Emerson College Polling. September 3, 2026. Retrieved September 3, 2026.
  192. ↑ "New Polling Shows Josh Turek Holding Narrow Lead in Highly Competitive Iowa Senate Race" (PDF). Global Strategy Group. Retrieved September 9, 2026.
  193. ↑ Coletto, David (September 2, 2026). "The Trade War Next Door: What American Voters Think About Tariffs, Canada and the Battle for the U.S. Senate". Abacus Data. Retrieved September 2, 2026.
  194. ↑ "IOWA AUGUST" (PDF). Suffolk University. August 26, 2026. Retrieved August 26, 2026.
  195. ↑ "Iowa 2026 Poll: Sand Has an Edge in Governor's Race; Hinson Holds Narrow Senate Advantage". Emerson College Polling. August 6, 2026. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  196. ↑ Balara, Victoria (July 1, 2026). "Fox News Poll: A close Senate contest is brewing in Iowa". Fox News. Retrieved July 1, 2026.
  197. ↑ "Control of the Senate Is Up for Grabs, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times. July 1, 2026. Retrieved July 1, 2026.
  198. ↑ "ITR Foundation Poll Shows Iowans Want Taxpayer Protection". Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation. June 26, 2026. Retrieved June 26, 2026.
  199. ↑ "New Polling shows Josh Turek overperforming partisanship and leading Iowa's Senate Race". Global Strategy Group. Retrieved June 22, 2026.
  200. ↑ "Turek and Hinson Tied in First Iowa General Election Poll". Politico. Retrieved June 8, 2026.
  201. 1 2 "NetChoice — April 2026 Antitrust Survey — Topline" (PDF). Echelon Insights. Retrieved April 21, 2026.
  202. 1 2 "Big Democratic Opportunity in Iowa Senate Race". Politico. March 31, 2026. Retrieved April 13, 2026.
  203. 1 2 3 Jacobs, Ben [@Bencjacobs] (February 9, 2026). "Change Research poll in Iowa has three point lead for Hinson (who it has with underwater favs) against all three Dem challengers with it shrinking on an informed ballot" (Tweet). Retrieved February 22, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  204. 1 2 3 "Latest Polls". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved February 22, 2026.
  205. 1 2 3 4 Plascencia, Cesar (August 22, 2025). "Democrat Zach Wahls Performs Best Against Ernst in Potential Senate Matchups". Public Policy Polling. Retrieved August 25, 2025.
  206. ↑ "Joni Ernst Unpopular, May Face Tough Reelection". Public Policy Polling. June 4, 2025. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  207. ↑ "Iowa Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. June 4, 2025. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
  208. ↑ "Election Night Reporting". electionresults.iowa.gov. Retrieved November 6, 2026.
Official campaign websites