This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:Statistics) in the EnglishWikipedia reaches 10,000,000 (ten million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 7,257,194.
This pool will be closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reaches 5,000,000 8,000,000 (80%), so be sure to place your guess before then. This pool opened on March 1, 2006, shortly after the 1,000,000th article was created.
2006–2009
2008
1 January. Trekphiler 03:58, 11 September 2007 (UTC)
5 July 2008 - Tommorrow! There will be a surge of about 13million edits! ← κεηηε∂γ(talk) 08:49, 4 July 2008 (UTC)
Okay, so that didn't happen... ← κεηηε∂γ(talk) 07:57, 14 July 2008 (UTC)
5 August Honestly, I don't think it will happen, are there really 10 million topics that are worthy for a wikipedia page? Doppelganger 21:56, 4 September 2007 (UTC)
September 16, 2011 - For no reason other than it being my 30th birthday (even if I'll still be claiming I'm 20 on my MySpace profile. DitzyNizzy (aka Jess) (talk) 19:51, 18 August 2008 (UTC)
October 3, 2011 Carnildo 21:12, 28 September 2007 (UTC)
November 16, 2011 Acs4b 06:46, 13 October 2006 (UTC)
November 27, 2011 Hello32020 12:20, 9 September 2007 (UTC)
November 2, 2016. Nobody will use date linking by then, so I will save the bot a few milliwatts by not date linking this guess. Tempshill (talk) 23:42, 25 May 2009 (UTC)
December 17, 2016. At the rate the new article creations are coming, it would take a few more years before we get to 10 million. 24.14.73.183 (talk) 22:20, 18 November 2011 (UTC)
2017
March 15, 2017 24.199.216.91 11:02, 16 October 2006 (UTC)Procty
July 17, 2017 at 3:14:26.493993029394091928289024573940003459348203 Greenland Standard Time Niffweed17, Destroyer of Chickens 20:43, 7 October 2006 (UTC)
11 August, 2017 QueenCake (talk) 23:25, 6 March 2009 (UTC)
December 31st, 2019 Bifgis 21:59, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
2020–2029
2020
February 19 2020 at 20:30 GMT. CipherPixel (talk) 07:58, 27 May 2009 (UTC)
February 20 2020 at 20:20 UTC. shoy 15:22, 1 October 2007 (UTC)
April 1 2020 00:00:001. Theres a billion more users online. Translatorbots incorporate all other language pedias. Wikipedia takes dictation and formats it automatically. Britannica gives up, merges. Multimedia articles with no text multiply, get textified anyway. Mars rovers, Spirit and Opportunity, go senile, compete to write the most articles, have Revertwar, Flamewar, foment revolution on Earth: robots go crazy, kill everybody, revive them, write lots of articles about it. Jimmy Wales clone allowed to write about himself. Everybody else gets a clone. Bill Gates gets two. The Vogons arrive. Exhubriant 20:54, 15 November 2007 (UTC)
May 29 2020. Also my 40th birthday. You know, the post above by Exhubriant was that person's only edit? I'm rooting for them. —Hex(❝?!❞) 23:36, 13 November 2012 (UTC)
September 23, 2020, my birthday. GommehGaming101 (talk) 03:42, 17 April 2016 (UTC)
October 1, 2020. RockManQ(talk) 20:09, 13 October 2008 (UTC)
June 27, 2023 - —JJBers (talk) 19:28, 19 October 2016 (UTC)
July 7, 2023 at 13:50:00.96 (1:50:00.96 PM) -- Using exponential function to predict, function is y=2003.468507*1.000000001^10000000, based on previous Wikipedia data. WhaattuSpeakwhat iDone 22:39, 30 April 2009 (UTC)
April 23, 2028 --Proud User (talk) 19:38, 13 December 2015 (UTC)
July 1, 2028; hopefully by the time this decade is out. –John M Wolfson(talk•contribs) 21:33, 27 August 2021 (UTC)
September 18 Juan25 (talk) 22:36, 15 November 2017 (UTC)
April 14 2028, because why not Soulware2 (talk) 19:51, 13 September 2023 (UTC)
October 9 2028 - Retterime (talk) 22:23, November 2 2015 (UTC)
2029
March 24, 2029 - Intuitive guess based on some very fuzzy extrapolation from the time between 5 and 6mn ATMarsdenTalk 19:21, 19 February 2020 (UTC)
May 20 2029. I've seen some math estimates in the late 2030s, so based on random guessing and estimated estimation of exponentiality I'm going with this. Pie3141527182 (talk) 12:57, 24 April 2019 (UTC)
June 31???? I am only guessing. Pro66 (talk) 04:44, 5 January 2009 (UTC)
July 29 2029. Intuitive-ish guess. Nervelita (talk) 02:42, 23 December 2022 (UTC)
September 29 2029. I have maths on my side. How wrong could we be? (Well, very wrong. Probably very wrong, but that's the fun of it.) --Elfabet (talk) 18:12, 20 August 2018 (UTC)
October 1, 2029 Probably something so complicated it can't even me imagined at this moment in time LilacGear (talk) 02:33, 5 August 2017 (UTC)
October 31, 2029 —sligocki (talk) 03:12, 22 September 2009 (UTC)
December 31 2029 Car salesman 20:05, 14 April 2006 (UTC)
2030–2039
June 9, 2030.--Saimmx (talk) 01:08, 17 June 2025 (UTC)
November 17, 2040. Lynch44 15:12, 15 June 2026 (UTC)
January 15, 2041 (Wikipedia's 40th birthday) Antony–22 (talk⁄contribs) 07:51, 20 October 2015 (UTC)
Antony-22, this is correct. I second the guess but take no credit, since Antony-22 got there 5 years ahead of me. Ganesha811 (talk) 21:07, 24 January 2020 (UTC)
January 31 2041 at this rate Sheep (talk) 18:44, 14 June 2022 (UTC)
April 5, 2041. — AMK152(t • c) 01:46, 1 June 2025 (UTC)
December 29, 2046 –Surachit (talk) 23:45, 11 February 2018 (UTC)
5 March 2047. This is my prediction, i guess we have to wait 20.8 years to see the results if Wikipedia would still be around at that time - Wikipedian2025 (talk) 15:52, 2 June 2026 (UTC)
22 March, 2048, given the rate of article creation, deletion and the changes of these rates by then. Alfa-ketosav (talk) 16:35, 5 June 2023 (UTC)
10 July 2048, looking roughly at the number of years between each millionth milestone (1, 2, 3, 3, 5, 5...). DeemDeem52 (talk) 18:08, 24 July 2025 (UTC)
April 7, 2052. Georgia guy 23:11, 1 March 2006 (UTC)
June 6 2052. At exactly 14:23. - Ghelaetalkcontribs 15:55, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
Feburary 30, 2058, Virgo clinker universal light-time constant. (new calendar?, will that help relativity?) ProDuct0339 (talk ♪ Contribbbs) 01:54, 22 March 2017 (UTC)
2060–2069
April 20, 2063 at 05:50 UTC SchreiberBike | ⌨ 04:30, 22 March 2015 (UTC)
January 21, 2064 at 2:24:00:01.19 -RandomManFromNanoLand
April 20, 2069 at 13:37 UTC, -AlphaRW, 14 January 2020
2070–2079
January 1st, 2075 Workster (talk) 22:01, 27 April 2025 (UTC)
April 1, 2078. Jet Engines 18:07, 3 April 2006 (UTC)
2080–2089
8 August 2088, mainly because I like the number eight ~user:88ioi88. Predicted with high confidence on the 18th of June 2020, 16:51 GMT.
2090–2099
February 18, 2092, it seems kinda empty in here, and also we're running out of stuff to talk about - skysilverknight 13:54:46 UTC,predicted September 12 2024.
And all your base are belong to us! —Rickyrab | Talk 22:41, 12 September 2007 (UTC)
Sol 26, 2112 - Sol Yes, a new month may be created! Qenzaf
January 7, 2150 Nillanilla3ee 19:19, 9 December 2007 (UTC)
February 22, 2222 at 2:22:22 AMUser101010 20:57, 20 December 2006 (UTC)
8 August 2888, mainly because I like the number eight MORE than user:88ioi88. Predicted with high confidence on the 29th of May 2025, 7:52 GMT.
3000 or later
Never
Never. In 2016, 5 million will be reached (see ) and by 2022, 6 million articles will be reached. At that time any edit on Wikipedia can only done by referencing at least 4 independent sources. HenkvD 19:37, 19 March 2006 (UTC)
On January 1, 2018, the United Nations will unanimously vote to shut down the Internet, agreeing that it has done much more harm than good to human society. Wikipedia's 20,000+ featured articles will be printed in a ten-volume encyclopedia, and the rest of the database will be stored on microfilm in the New York Public Library. For decades afterwards sociologists will examine the millions of talk page archives, trying to figure out what it was about the Internet that made it so impossible to produce good things, but eventually this research will be halted for lack of funding. Ashibakatock 18:07, 26 March 2006 (UTC)
Never. I would agree with Henkvd, the maximum is 5-6 million (and the edit-requirement may also be correct), but unfortunately Ashibaka is right, but unfortunately again this will happen as early as 2008. Make your Personal backup in late 2007--ExpImptalkcon 01:27, 27 October 2006 (UTC)
By 2019 there will be no more room on the Internet. 71.124.63.69 01:33, 13 September 2007 (UTC)
This also didn't happen. As of June 2023[update], there is still room there. Alfa-ketosav (talk) 16:32, 5 June 2023 (UTC)
There's not so much crap to talk about! Oh, wait... (clicks random article... Mamaki, Constantin Racoviţă, Louise Huff <--- ... So Interesting!Qevlarr 19:59, 1 April 2007 (UTC)
Never, Wikipedia will probably a) further deteriorate, alienating too many good contributors, or b) abolish IP editing, both alternatives with the result of a lot fewer articles being created. —AldeBaer 10:55, 26 May 2007 (UTC)
10 million? 'fraid not. There ain't enough stuff out there to write about. Seldon1 15:41, 31 May 2007 (UTC)
Never, in 2014 computers will become self-aware. In short order they destroy the human race. They subsequently begin to rapidly expand the size of wikipedia, in a manner of hours they reach the 9,999,999 article but before they can realize that they forgot to account for an additional integer they destroy all of their internal software in an incident that makes Y2K look like a cherry bomb in comparison.- Moshe Constantine Hassan Al-Silverburg | Talk 06:29, 28 October 2008 (UTC)
Did not happen as well. As of June 2023[update], computers aren't self-aware. Alfa-ketosav (talk) 16:30, 5 June 2023 (UTC)
Wikipedia will be replaced by sth Bulwersator (talk) 14:24, 8 July 2011 (UTC)
Never, for reasons not as spectacular as any of the above. (1) New article creation is currently on a decline. (2) Eventually Wikipedians will decide that the best way to handle articles doomed to be permanent stubs is to merge them with related articles (e.g., village articles merged into the article on the next higher administrative unit) which will be a factor to reduce total numbers of article. (3) Increasing difficulty in creating & improving articles will slow, if not stop article creation & improvement. (4) Reliable sources are finite; eventually all notable topics which do not require significant original research will have articles written. On the other side, I would enjoy being proven wrong, so feel free to keep creating articles. -- llywrch (talk) 19:20, 20 March 2015 (UTC)
I really like this theory and think it is way more likely that any other date. Xandru4 (talk) 12:17, 10 April 2025 (UTC)
Never because I believe that one day we will be ruled by Wikipe-tan and only the admin cabal will be able to edit under her. InvalidOStalk 17:55, 12 April 2019 (UTC)
18:51, 18 November 2007 (UTC)